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QinetiQ Group (STU:QY6) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : €3.55 (As of May. 15, 2024)


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What is QinetiQ Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-15), QinetiQ Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is €3.55. The stock price of QinetiQ Group is €4.162. Therefore, QinetiQ Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.2.

The historical rank and industry rank for QinetiQ Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

STU:QY6' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.69   Med: 0.97   Max: 1.18
Current: 1.17

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of QinetiQ Group was 1.18. The lowest was 0.69. And the median was 0.97.

STU:QY6's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
74.4% of 168 companies
in the Aerospace & Defense industry
Industry Median: 2.245 vs STU:QY6: 1.17

QinetiQ Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for QinetiQ Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

QinetiQ Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

QinetiQ Group Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.12 3.15 3.46 3.70 3.48

QinetiQ Group Semi-Annual Data
Mar14 Sep14 Mar15 Sep15 Mar16 Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 3.70 - 3.48 -

Competitive Comparison of QinetiQ Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Aerospace & Defense subindustry, QinetiQ Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


QinetiQ Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Aerospace & Defense Industry

For the Aerospace & Defense industry and Industrials sector, QinetiQ Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where QinetiQ Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



QinetiQ Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get QinetiQ Group's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = €86.64.

QinetiQ Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(13.973715027901*86.642+1097.563*0.8)/582.300
=3.59

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


QinetiQ Group  (STU:QY6) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

QinetiQ Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=4.162/3.5870874419498
=1.16

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


QinetiQ Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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QinetiQ Group (STU:QY6) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Ively Road, Cody Technology Park, Farnborough, Hampshire, GBR, GU14 0LX
QinetiQ Group PLC is a company operating in the global aerospace, defense, and security sectors. The services and products offered are air (air engineering services, air traffic management, safety, and environmental management); C4ISR (communication, reconnaissance, intelligence and surveillance, space security, fast jet sensor fusion training, sensors, cyber and data science among many others); Cyber (accreditation support, security health check, data classification, insider threat management among others); Maritime ( Maritime Autonomy Centre, Naval Mission Systems, Maritime Stealth among many others).

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