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Chang Lan Technology Group Co (SZSE:002879) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : ¥8.04 (As of Jun. 13, 2024)


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What is Chang Lan Technology Group Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-06-13), Chang Lan Technology Group Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ¥8.04. The stock price of Chang Lan Technology Group Co is ¥13.38. Therefore, Chang Lan Technology Group Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.7.

The historical rank and industry rank for Chang Lan Technology Group Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

SZSE:002879' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.65   Med: 2   Max: 2.96
Current: 1.66

During the past 12 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Chang Lan Technology Group Co was 2.96. The lowest was 1.65. And the median was 2.00.

SZSE:002879's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
54.32% of 1911 companies
in the Industrial Products industry
Industry Median: 1.52 vs SZSE:002879: 1.66

Chang Lan Technology Group Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Chang Lan Technology Group Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Chang Lan Technology Group Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Chang Lan Technology Group Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 8.80 9.55 6.90 9.15

Chang Lan Technology Group Co Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 7.52 5.57 7.65 9.15 8.04

Competitive Comparison of Chang Lan Technology Group Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Electrical Equipment & Parts subindustry, Chang Lan Technology Group Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Chang Lan Technology Group Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Chang Lan Technology Group Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Chang Lan Technology Group Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Chang Lan Technology Group Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Chang Lan Technology Group Co's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = ¥9.44.

Chang Lan Technology Group Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(10.551003399274*9.436+1690.837*0.8)/180.580
=8.04

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Chang Lan Technology Group Co  (SZSE:002879) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Chang Lan Technology Group Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=13.38/8.0420249644233
=1.66

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Chang Lan Technology Group Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Chang Lan Technology Group Co (SZSE:002879) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 223, Tonglupo West Road, Shigu Industrial Park, Changsha High-tech Development Zone, Hunan Province, Changsha, CHN, 410205
Chang Lan Technology Group Co Ltd formerly Chang Lan Electric Technology Co Ltd is engaged in research and development, production and sale of cable accessories. It has focusing on the design, manufacturing and construction services of cable accessories for sixty years. The company produces high, medium, and low voltage cable accessories, railway cables, direct current cable accessories, and other products. It supplies its products in electricity, infrastructure construction, and other fields.
Executives
Yu Tao Director
Xue Qi Executives
Yu Zheng Yuan Director
Luo Bing Director
Xie Shi Lin Directors, executives
Li Kai Jun Supervisors
Tan Zu Heng Executives
Guo Zhang Chun Executives
Wu Xiao Lin Directors, executives
Zuo Tian Fang Independent director
Tang Shan Hu Executives
Liu Gang Supervisors

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