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NextSource Materials (TSX:NEXT) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : C$-0.34 (As of May. 26, 2024)


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What is NextSource Materials Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-26), NextSource Materials's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is C$-0.34. The stock price of NextSource Materials is C$0.88. Therefore, NextSource Materials's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for NextSource Materials's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

TSX:NEXT's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Metals & Mining industry.
Industry Median: 1.39
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

NextSource Materials Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for NextSource Materials's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

NextSource Materials Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

NextSource Materials Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.00 -0.78 -0.82 -0.56 -0.39

NextSource Materials Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.41 -0.39 -0.22 -0.29 -0.34

Competitive Comparison of NextSource Materials's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Other Industrial Metals & Mining subindustry, NextSource Materials's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


NextSource Materials's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, NextSource Materials's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where NextSource Materials's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



NextSource Materials Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get NextSource Materials's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = C$-11.96.

NextSource Materials's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-11.95632+75.23*0.8)/155.784
=-0.34

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


NextSource Materials  (TSX:NEXT) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

NextSource Materials's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=0.88/-0.34435096154847
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


NextSource Materials Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of NextSource Materials's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


NextSource Materials (TSX:NEXT) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
130 King Street West, Exchange Tower, Suite 1940, Toronto, ON, CAN, M5X 2A2
NextSource Materials Inc is a strategic materials development company based in Toronto, Canada. The company's Molo graphite project in Madagascar is one of the largest known and highest-quality graphite deposits globally, and contains SuperFlake graphite. The company also holds an interest in Green Giant Vanadium Project.
Executives
Quentin Yarie Director

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