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Vericel (Vericel) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $5.50 (As of May. 04, 2024)


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What is Vericel Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-04), Vericel's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $5.50. The stock price of Vericel is $47.83. Therefore, Vericel's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 8.7.

The historical rank and industry rank for Vericel's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

VCEL' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 6.47   Med: 12.2   Max: 75.32
Current: 8.7

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Vericel was 75.32. The lowest was 6.47. And the median was 12.20.

VCEL's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
86.89% of 206 companies
in the Biotechnology industry
Industry Median: 2.36 vs VCEL: 8.70

Vericel Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Vericel's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Vericel Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Vericel Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.23 0.41 2.29 3.64 5.50

Vericel Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.64 4.05 4.44 4.79 5.50

Competitive Comparison of Vericel's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Vericel's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Vericel's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Vericel's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Vericel's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Vericel Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Vericel's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $6.59.

Vericel's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(12.437096484727*6.58992+225.952*0.8)/47.749
=5.50

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Vericel  (NAS:VCEL) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Vericel's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=47.83/5.5021271831165
=8.69

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Vericel Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Vericel's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Vericel (Vericel) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
64 Sidney Street, Cambridge, MA, USA, 02139
Vericel Corp is a fully integrated, commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company, specialized in advanced therapies for sports medicine and severe burn care markets. It markets two cell therapy products in the United States, MACI (autologous cultured chondrocytes on porcine collagen membrane) and Epicel (cultured epidermal autografts). The company operates in one reportable segment: the research, product development, manufacture, and distribution of patient-specific, expanded cellular therapies for use in the treatment of specific diseases.
Executives
Dominick Colangelo director, officer: President and CEO 1000 WINTER ST., SUITE 2200, WALTHAM MA 02451
Zerbe Robert L Md director
Paul K Wotton director C/O ANTARES PHARMA, INC., 707 EAGLEVIEW BOULEVARD, SUITE 414, EXTON PA 19341
Sean C. Flynn officer: SVP, General Counsel C/O VERICEL CORPORATION, 64 SIDNEY ST., CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Michael Halpin officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O VERICEL CORPORATION, 64 SIDNEY ST., CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Jonathan Mark Hopper officer: Chief Medical Officer 64 SIDNEY STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Jonathan Siegal officer: Principal Accounting Officer C/O VERICEL CORPORATION, 64 SIDNEY STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Lisa Wright director C/O VERICEL CORPORATION, 64 SIDNEY STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Mara Joseph Anthony Jr officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O VERICEL CORPORATION, 64 SIDNEY STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Steven C Gilman director 110 HARTWELL AVENUE, LEXINGTON MA 02421
Sandra Pennell officer: VP and Corporate Controller C/O VERICEL CORPORATION, 64 SIDNEY STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Gerard J Michel officer: CFO & VP , Corp. Development 420 CHIPETA WAY, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84108
Daniel Orlando officer: Chief Operating Officer P.O. BOX 376, ANN ARBOR MI 48105
Alan L Rubino director PO BOX 376, LOBBY L., ANN ARBOR MI 48105
Consonance Capital Management Lp 10 percent owner 1370 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, SUITE 3301, NEW YORK NY 10019