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The Hain Celestial Group (The Hain Celestial Group) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $ (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is The Hain Celestial Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-04-27), The Hain Celestial Group's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

The Hain Celestial Group's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for The Hain Celestial Group is

The historical rank and industry rank for The Hain Celestial Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

HAIN's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked *
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry.
Industry Median: 1.09
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

The Hain Celestial Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for The Hain Celestial Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

The Hain Celestial Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

The Hain Celestial Group Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
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The Hain Celestial Group Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of The Hain Celestial Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, The Hain Celestial Group's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The Hain Celestial Group's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, The Hain Celestial Group's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Hain Celestial Group's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.



The Hain Celestial Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.66%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = %
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=>

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

The Hain Celestial Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.11) =
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.11) =

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=*
=

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= ( - 6.14) /

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


The Hain Celestial Group  (NAS:HAIN) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


The Hain Celestial Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of The Hain Celestial Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


The Hain Celestial Group (The Hain Celestial Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
4600 Sleepytime Drive, Co, Boulder, DE, USA, 80301
The Hain Celestial Group Inc makes better-for-you natural and organic food and personal-care products. Some of the company's majority-recognized U.S. brands (55% of fiscal 2022 sales) are Celestial Seasonings, Terra, Garden of Eatin', Sensible Portions, Greek Gods yogurt, and Earth's baby food. Hain also maintains several brands in the U.K. (26% of sales), such as Ella's Kitchen baby food, New Covent Garden soup, Linda McCartney's plant-based meats, Sun-Pat nut butter, and Hartley's jams and gelatins. Its products can be found in traditional grocery stores, natural foods supermarkets, specialty health stores, mass-market retailers, club warehouses, drugstores, convenience stores, restaurants, and e-commerce sites.
Executives
Dawn M. Zier director 600 OFFICE CENTER DRIVE, FORT WASHINGTON PA 19034
Carlyn R. Taylor director 5215 N. O'CONNOR BLVD., SUITE 2300, IRVING TX 75039
Wendy P Davidson director, officer: President and CEO 2210 WEST OAKLAWN DRIVE, SPRINGDALE AR 72762
Steven R. Golliher officer: Global Ch Supply Chain Officer C/O THE HAIN CELESTIAL GROUP, INC., 4600 SLEEPYTIME DRIVE, BOULDER CO 80301
Lee A. Boyce officer: EVP & Chief Financial Officer C/O THE HAIN CELESTIAL GROUP, INC., 4600 SLEEPYTIME DRIVE, BOULDER CO 80301
Neil Campbell director C/O THE HAIN CELESTIAL GROUP, INC., 4600 SLEEPYTIME DRIVE, BOULDER CO 80301
Michael Ragusa officer: SVP, Chief Accounting Officer 200 LIBERTY STREET, 14TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10281
Mark L. Schiller officer: President and CEO C/O THE HAIN CELESTIAL GROUP, INC., 1111 MARCUS AVENUE, LAKE SUCCESS NY 11042
Ameet Kumar officer: SVP & Chief Accounting Officer 606 CANTERFIELD PKWY W, WEST DUNDEE IL 60118
Glenn W. Welling director 610 NEWPORT CENTER DRIVE, SUITE 950, NEWPORT BEACH CA 92660
Chris Bellairs officer: EVP & Chief Financial Officer 2711 NORTH HASKELL AVENUE, SUITE 3400, DALLAS TX 75204
David Karch officer: EVP & Chief Operating Officer HARMAN INTERNATIONAL, 1101 PENNSYLVANIA AVE, NW, SUITE 1010, WASHINGTON DC 20004
Wolfgang Goldenitsch officer: CEO, International C/O THE HAIN CELESTIAL GROUP, INC., 1111 MARCUS AVENUE, LAKE SUCCESS NY 11042
Engaged Capital Llc 10 percent owner 610 NEWPORT CENTER DRIVE, SUITE 950, NEWPORT BEACH CA 92660
Engaged Capital Co-invest Vi-d, L.p. other: See Footnote 1 610 NEWPORT CENTER DRIVE, SUITE 250, NEWPORT BEACH CA 92660