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Holly Energy Partners LP (Holly Energy Partners LP) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $25.00 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


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What is Holly Energy Partners LP Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-25), Holly Energy Partners LP's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $25.00. The stock price of Holly Energy Partners LP is $20.45. Therefore, Holly Energy Partners LP's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.8.

The historical rank and industry rank for Holly Energy Partners LP's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

HEP' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.68   Med: 1.85   Max: 8.8
Current: 0.82

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Holly Energy Partners LP was 8.80. The lowest was 0.68. And the median was 1.85.

HEP's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked
in the Oil & Gas industry.
Industry Median: 0.84 vs HEP: 0.82

Holly Energy Partners LP Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Holly Energy Partners LP's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Holly Energy Partners LP Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Holly Energy Partners LP Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 15.14 16.61 18.70 21.87 23.67

Holly Energy Partners LP Quarterly Data
Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 23.13 23.67 23.86 24.55 25.00

Competitive Comparison of Holly Energy Partners LP's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Oil & Gas Midstream subindustry, Holly Energy Partners LP's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Holly Energy Partners LP's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Holly Energy Partners LP's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Holly Energy Partners LP's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Holly Energy Partners LP Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Holly Energy Partners LP's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $256.73.

Holly Energy Partners LP's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Sep23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*256.72576+896.066*0.8)/126.440
=25.00

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Holly Energy Partners LP  (NYSE:HEP) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Holly Energy Partners LP's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=20.45/24.999780915385
=0.82

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Holly Energy Partners LP Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Holly Energy Partners LP's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Holly Energy Partners LP (Holly Energy Partners LP) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
2828 N. Harwood, Suite 1300, Dallas, TX, USA, 75201-1507
Holly Energy Partners LP operates a network of refined products and crude oil pipelines, with attendant terminal assets, in several western and southwestern states. The company has two reportable segments namely Pipelines and Terminals and Refinery Processing Unit. It generates maximum revenue from the Pipelines and Terminals segment.
Executives
Robert I Jamieson officer: SVP and COO 2828 N. HARWOOD ST., SUITE 1300, DALLAS TX 75201
Mark A Petersen director 550 EAST SOUTH TEMPLE, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84102
Hf Sinclair Corp 10 percent owner, other: See remarks 2828 N. HARWOOD, SUITE 1300, DALLAS TX 75201
Sinclair Companies 10 percent owner 550 EAST SOUTH TEMPLE, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84102
Carol Holding 10 percent owner 550 EAST SOUTH TEMPLE, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84102
James H Lee director 10000 MEMORIAL DRIVE STE 600, HOUSTON TX 77024-3411
Larry R Baldwin director 2828 N. HARWOOD STREET, SUITE 1300, DALLAS TX 75201
Michael Jennings director 10000 MEMORIAL DRIVE, SUITE 600, HOUSTON TX 77024
Kenneth Norwood officer: VP and Controller 2828 N. HARWOOD, SUITE 1300, DALLAS TX 75201
Harrison John Wayne Jr officer: SVP, CFO and Treasurer 2828 N. HARWOOD ST., SUITE 1300, DALLAS TX 75201
Vaishali S. Bhatia officer: SVP, General Counsel & Sec 2828 N. HARWOOD ST., SUITE 1300, DALLAS TX 75201
Eric L Mattson director C/O REX ENERGY CORP, 366 WALKER DRIVE, STATE COLLEGE PA 16801
Christine B Lafollette director 2828 N. HARWOOD, SUITE 1300, DALLAS X1 75201
Richard Kevin Hardage director 2626 COLE AVE SUITE 705, DALLAS TX 75209
Holly Refining & Marketing Co - Woods Cross Llc other: See Footnotes 2828 N. HARWOOD, SUITE 1300, DALLAS TX 75201