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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
As of today (2024-05-26), Lancaster Colony's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $68.59. The stock price of Lancaster Colony is $184.47. Therefore, Lancaster Colony's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.7.
The historical rank and industry rank for Lancaster Colony's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Lancaster Colony was 3.35. The lowest was 1.58. And the median was 2.39.
The historical data trend for Lancaster Colony's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Lancaster Colony Annual Data | |||||||||||||||||||||
Trend | Jun14 | Jun15 | Jun16 | Jun17 | Jun18 | Jun19 | Jun20 | Jun21 | Jun22 | Jun23 | |||||||||||
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | 64.62 | 63.28 | 63.95 | 56.79 | 60.01 |
Lancaster Colony Quarterly Data | ||||||||||||||||||||
Jun19 | Sep19 | Dec19 | Mar20 | Jun20 | Sep20 | Dec20 | Mar21 | Jun21 | Sep21 | Dec21 | Mar22 | Jun22 | Sep22 | Dec22 | Mar23 | Jun23 | Sep23 | Dec23 | Mar24 | |
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | 61.08 | 60.01 | 60.32 | 66.15 | 68.59 |
For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Lancaster Colony's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Lancaster Colony's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Lancaster Colony's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Lancaster Colony's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $101.31.
Lancaster Colony's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | = | (Growth Multiple | * | Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) | + | Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24) | * | 0.8) | / | Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) |
= | (11.37706741589 | * | 101.31152 | + | 912.852 | * | 0.8) | / | 27.451 | |
= | 68.59 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Lancaster Colony (NAS:LANC) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Lancaster Colony's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF | = | Share Price | / | Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF |
= | 184.47 | / | 68.591657609786 | |
= | 2.69 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Lancaster Colony's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Knight George F. Iii | director | 380 POLARIS PARKWAY, SUITE 400, WESTERVILLE OH 43082 |
Zena Srivatsa Arnold | director | 2500 BEE CAVE ROAD, BLDG. 1, SUITE 200, ROLLINGWOOD TX 78746 |
Luis Viso | officer: Chief Supply Chain Officer | 380 POLARIS PARKWAY, SUITE 400, WESTERVILLE OH 43082 |
Kristin Bird | officer: President-Foodservice Division | 380 POLARIS PARKWAY, SUITE 400, WESTERVILLE OH 43082 |
Carl R. Stealey | officer: President-T Marzetti Retail | 380 POLARIS PARKWAY, SUITE 400, WESTERVILLE OH 43082 |
David Alan Ciesinski | officer: President & COO | H. J. HEINZ COMPANY, P.O. BOX 57, PITTSBURGH PA 15230 |
David S. Nagle | officer: SVP-T Marzetti Co Supply Chain | 380 POLARIS PARKWAY, WESTERVILLE OH 43082 |
K. Pigott Thomas | officer: CFO and Asst. Secretary | C/O MGP INGREDIENTS, INC., 100 COMMERCIAL STREET, ATCHISON KS 66002 |
Alan F Harris | director | |
Elliot K. Fullen | director | 380 POLARIS PARKWAY, SUITE 400, WESTERVILLE OH 43082 |
Gerlach John B Jr | director, officer: Chairman & CEO | LANCASTER COLONY CORP, 37 W. BROAD ST., COLUMBUS OH 43215 |
Barbara L Brasier | director | C/O MEADWESTVACO CORP, ONE HIGH RIDGE PARK, STAMFORD CT 06905 |
Michael H Keown | director | P O BOX 77057, FORT WORTH TX 76177 |
Timothy A. Tate | officer: SVP-TMarzettiFoodservice Sales | 380 POLARIS PARKWAY, WESTERVILLE OH 43082 |
Neeli Bendapudi | director | FISHER COLLEGE OF BUSINESS, 556 FISHER H, 2100 NEIL AVENUE, COLUMBUS OH 43210 |
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