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Alon USA Energy (Alon USA Energy) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $0.00 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is Alon USA Energy Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-26), Alon USA Energy's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $0.00. The stock price of Alon USA Energy is $13.32. Therefore, Alon USA Energy's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Alon USA Energy's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

ALJ's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Oil & Gas industry.
Industry Median: 0.85
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

Alon USA Energy Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Alon USA Energy's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Alon USA Energy Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Alon USA Energy Annual Data
Trend Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.90 6.43 18.33 16.56 15.00

Alon USA Energy Quarterly Data
Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 15.80 15.88 15.47 15.00 16.42

Competitive Comparison of Alon USA Energy's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing subindustry, Alon USA Energy's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Alon USA Energy's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Alon USA Energy's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alon USA Energy's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Alon USA Energy Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Alon USA Energy's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $76.57.

Alon USA Energy's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar17)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*76.57088+518.41*0.8)/71.577
=15.98

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Alon USA Energy  (NYSE:ALJ) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Alon USA Energy's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=13.32/15.9787319895
=0.83

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Alon USA Energy Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Alon USA Energy's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Alon USA Energy (Alon USA Energy) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Alon USA Energy Inc Inc was incorporated under Delaware law in 2000. The company is an independent refiner and marketer of petroleum products, operates in South Central, Southwestern and Western regions of the United States. Its crude oil refineries are located in Texas, California and Louisiana and have a combined throughput capacity of approximately 214,000 barrels per day. It is also a marketer of asphalt, which it distributes through asphalt terminals located predominately in the Western United States. The company operates in three operating segments; refining and marketing, asphalt, and retail. Its refining and marketing segment includes sour and heavy crude oil refineries that are located in Big Spring, Texas; Paramount, Bakersfield and Long Beach, California; and a light sweet crude oil refinery located in Krotz Springs, Louisiana. It refines crude oil into petroleum products, including gasoline, diesel fuel, jet fuel, petrochemicals, petrochemical feedstocks, asphalt, and other petroleum-based products, which are marketed in the South Central, Southwestern and Western United States. Its Asphalt segment owns or operates approximately 11 asphalt terminals located in Texas ( Big Spring), Washington (Richmond Beach), California (Paramount, Long Beach, Elk Grove, Mojave and Bakersfield), Arizona (Phoenix and Flagstaff) as well as asphalt terminals in which it owns 50% interest located in Fernley, Nevada, and Brownwood, Texas. Its Retail segment operates approximately 306 owned and leased convenience store sites located in Central and West Texas and New Mexico. It also owns 7-Eleven licensee in the United States and have the exclusive right to use the 7-Eleven trade name in substantially all of its existing retail markets and many surrounding areas. It competes in the asphalt market with various refineries including Valero, Tesoro, U.S. Oil, Western, San Joaquin Refining, Ergon and HollyFrontier as well as regional and national asphalt marketing companies that have little or no associated refining operations. The Company's operations is subject to extensive and frequently changing federal, state, regional and local laws, regulations and ordinances relating to the protection of the environment, including those governing emissions or discharges to the air, water, and land, the handling and disposal of solid and hazardous waste and the remediation of contamination.
Executives
Frederec Green director 7102 COMMERCE WAY, BRENTWOOD TN 37027
Assi Ginzburg director 7102 COMMERCE WAY, BRENTWOOD TN 37027
Ezra Uzi Yemin director 7102 COMMERCE WAY, BRENTWOOD TN 37027
Mark D Smith director 7102 COMMERCE WAY, BRENTWOOD TN 37027
Avigal Soreq director 7102 COMMERCE WAY, BRENTWOOD TN 37027
Ron W Haddock director 7616 LBJ FREEWAY, SUITE 300, DALLAS TX 75251
Alan P Moret officer: Interim CEO 7616 LBJ FREEWAY, SUITE 300, DALLAS TX 75251
Shai Even officer: Sr. VP and CFO 7616 LBJ FREEWAY, SUITE 300, DALLAS TX 75251
William Jennings Kacal director 2112 INWOOD DRIVE, HOUSTON TX 77019
Wallace P Eisman officer: President and CEO ONE MUSEUM PLACE, 3100 W. 7TH STREET, SUITE 500, FORT WORTH TX 76107
Delek Us Holdings, Inc. 10 percent owner 7102 COMMERCE WAY, BRENTWOOD TN 37027
Yonel Cohen director 12700 PARK CENTRAL DR STE 1600 DALLAS TX 75251
Joseph Israel officer: Chief Operating Officer 7616 LBJ FREEWAY, SUITE 300, DALLAS TX 75251
George Tracy Owens other: Controller 111 CONGRESS AVE., SUITE 2400, AUSTIN TX 78701

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