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Alucon PCL (BKK:ALUCON) Beneish M-Score : -3.30 (As of May. 25, 2024)


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What is Alucon PCL Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.3 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Alucon PCL's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BKK:ALUCON' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.48   Med: -2.74   Max: 1.88
Current: -3.3

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Alucon PCL was 1.88. The lowest was -3.48. And the median was -2.74.


Alucon PCL Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Alucon PCL's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Alucon PCL Beneish M-Score Chart

Alucon PCL Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.16 1.88 -1.97 -2.27 -3.48

Alucon PCL Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.85 -3.19 -3.28 -3.48 -3.30

Competitive Comparison of Alucon PCL's Beneish M-Score

For the Aluminum subindustry, Alucon PCL's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Alucon PCL's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Alucon PCL's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alucon PCL's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Alucon PCL Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Alucon PCL for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0337+0.528 * 0.8575+0.404 * 0.4976+0.892 * 0.8697+0.115 * 0.9532
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8243+4.679 * -0.095379-0.327 * 1.0971
=-3.30

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ฿1,038 Mil.
Revenue was 1465.363 + 1514.291 + 1485.664 + 1476.059 = ฿5,941 Mil.
Gross Profit was 244.031 + 223.5 + 182.209 + 170.632 = ฿820 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ฿5,696 Mil.
Total Assets was ฿7,891 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ฿2,147 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ฿365 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ฿251 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ฿577 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ฿0 Mil.
Net Income was 288.884 + 74.465 + 210.672 + 158.388 = ฿732 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 128.042 + -133.846 + 84.278 + 26.122 = ฿105 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 395.141 + 240.1 + 341.815 + 403.376 = ฿1,380 Mil.
Total Receivables was ฿1,155 Mil.
Revenue was 1648.282 + 1631.282 + 1800.174 + 1752.158 = ฿6,832 Mil.
Gross Profit was 122.618 + 215.839 + 247.389 + 223.056 = ฿809 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ฿5,005 Mil.
Total Assets was ฿7,518 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ฿2,423 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ฿389 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ฿351 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ฿501 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ฿0 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1038.428 / 5941.377) / (1155.182 / 6831.896)
=0.174779 / 0.169087
=1.0337

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(808.902 / 6831.896) / (820.372 / 5941.377)
=0.118401 / 0.138078
=0.8575

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (5696.425 + 2147.268) / 7890.793) / (1 - (5005.314 + 2422.652) / 7518.157)
=0.005969 / 0.011996
=0.4976

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=5941.377 / 6831.896
=0.8697

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(389.305 / (389.305 + 2422.652)) / (364.879 / (364.879 + 2147.268))
=0.138446 / 0.145246
=0.9532

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(251.384 / 5941.377) / (350.67 / 6831.896)
=0.042311 / 0.051328
=0.8243

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((0 + 577.203) / 7890.793) / ((0 + 501.266) / 7518.157)
=0.073149 / 0.066674
=1.0971

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(732.409 - 104.596 - 1380.432) / 7890.793
=-0.095379

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Alucon PCL has a M-score of -3.30 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Alucon PCL Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Alucon PCL (BKK:ALUCON) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
500 Moo 1, Sukhumvit 72 Road, Soi Sirikam, North Samrong, Muang, Samut Prakarn, THA, 10270
Alucon PCL is a Thailand-based company engaged in producing and distributing aluminium containers such as Aluminium Collapsible Tubes, Aluminium Monobloc Aerosol Cans, Aluminium Rigid Wall Containers, Aluminium Bottles, Technical Impact Extrusions, Aluminium Slugs (Blanks), Aluminium Coils, Aluminium Pellets, strips, plates, etc. The company has two segments namely, the Can and tube segment, and the Slug segment and it has a business presence in Thailand, Asia Pacific, the United States and other countries.

Alucon PCL (BKK:ALUCON) Headlines

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