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Bally Total Fitness Holding (Bally Total Fitness Holding) Beneish M-Score : 0.00 (As of Jun. 05, 2024)


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What is Bally Total Fitness Holding Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Bally Total Fitness Holding's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 11 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Bally Total Fitness Holding was 0.00. The lowest was 0.00. And the median was 0.00.


Bally Total Fitness Holding Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Bally Total Fitness Holding's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Bally Total Fitness Holding Beneish M-Score Chart

Bally Total Fitness Holding Annual Data
Trend Dec97 Dec98 Dec99 Dec00 Dec01 Dec02 Dec03 Dec04 Dec05 Dec06
Beneish M-Score
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Bally Total Fitness Holding Quarterly Data
Sep02 Dec02 Mar03 Jun03 Sep03 Dec03 Mar04 Jun04 Sep04 Dec04 Mar05 Jun05 Sep05 Dec05 Mar06 Jun06 Sep06 Dec06 Mar07 Jun07
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Competitive Comparison of Bally Total Fitness Holding's Beneish M-Score

For the Leisure subindustry, Bally Total Fitness Holding's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Bally Total Fitness Holding's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Bally Total Fitness Holding's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Bally Total Fitness Holding's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Bally Total Fitness Holding Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Bally Total Fitness Holding for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1+0.528 * 0.8534+0.404 * 0.8806+0.892 * 1.0358+0.115 * 0.7834
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0794+4.679 * 0.067317-0.327 * 1.1274
=-2.34

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun07) TTM:Last Year (Jun06) TTM:
Total Receivables was $0.00 Mil.
Revenue was 235.46 + 233.415 + 300.883 + 248.371 = $1,018.13 Mil.
Gross Profit was 71.537 + 62.199 + 140.146 + 69.839 = $343.72 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $109.01 Mil.
Total Assets was $411.38 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $234.39 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $71.35 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $161.48 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,231.99 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $10.50 Mil.
Net Income was 7.758 + -14.899 + 16.862 + -5.732 = $3.99 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0.708 + 0.509 + -8.172 + 0.566 = $-6.39 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -10.224 + 7.525 + -12.301 + -2.315 = $-17.32 Mil.
Total Receivables was $0.00 Mil.
Revenue was 246.086 + 246.345 + 242.532 + 247.939 = $982.90 Mil.
Gross Profit was 72.946 + 70.959 + 69.937 + 69.347 = $283.19 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $46.96 Mil.
Total Assets was $430.90 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $303.08 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $67.81 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $144.43 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $611.63 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $542.79 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(0 / 1018.129) / (0 / 982.902)
=0 / 0
=1

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(283.189 / 982.902) / (343.721 / 1018.129)
=0.288115 / 0.337601
=0.8534

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (109.01 + 234.392) / 411.379) / (1 - (46.964 + 303.084) / 430.902)
=0.165242 / 0.187639
=0.8806

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1018.129 / 982.902
=1.0358

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(67.806 / (67.806 + 303.084)) / (71.35 / (71.35 + 234.392))
=0.18282 / 0.233367
=0.7834

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(161.482 / 1018.129) / (144.428 / 982.902)
=0.158607 / 0.14694
=1.0794

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((10.498 + 1231.991) / 411.379) / ((542.786 + 611.627) / 430.902)
=3.020302 / 2.679062
=1.1274

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(3.989 - -6.389 - -17.315) / 411.379
=0.067317

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Bally Total Fitness Holding has a M-score of -2.34 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Bally Total Fitness Holding Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Bally Total Fitness Holding (Bally Total Fitness Holding) Business Description

Comparable Companies
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
8700 West Bryn Mawr Avenue, Chicago, IL, USA, 60631
Bally Total Fitness Holding is the largest commercial operator of fitness centers in the United States in terms of revenue, number of members, and square footage of facilities. The company operates more than 400 fitness centers with approximately 4 million members. Its fitness centers are generally 30,000 square feet in size and include such amenities as a workout area, sauna and steam facilities, a lap pool, free-weight rooms, aerobic-exercise rooms, an indoor jogging track, and racquetball courts.

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