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Citi Trends (Citi Trends) Beneish M-Score : 3.31 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Citi Trends Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score 3.31 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Citi Trends's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

CTRN' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.55   Med: -2.7   Max: 3.31
Current: 3.31

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Citi Trends was 3.31. The lowest was -4.55. And the median was -2.70.


Citi Trends Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Citi Trends's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Citi Trends Beneish M-Score Chart

Citi Trends Annual Data
Trend Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.75 -4.55 -2.54 -3.52 3.31

Citi Trends Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.52 -2.78 1.75 -1.30 3.31

Competitive Comparison of Citi Trends's Beneish M-Score

For the Apparel Retail subindustry, Citi Trends's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Citi Trends's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Citi Trends's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Citi Trends's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Citi Trends Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Citi Trends for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 7.1214+0.528 * 1.0262+0.404 * 1.5728+0.892 * 0.9408+0.115 * 0.9838
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0833+4.679 * -0.002604-0.327 * 1.0023
=3.31

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jan24) TTM:Last Year (Jan23) TTM:
Total Receivables was $4.1 Mil.
Revenue was 215.179 + 179.52 + 173.554 + 179.688 = $747.9 Mil.
Gross Profit was 84.182 + 68.578 + 66.328 + 66.029 = $285.1 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $225.1 Mil.
Total Assets was $518.7 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $287.5 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $19.0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $284.5 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $169.9 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $188.8 Mil.
Net Income was 3.551 + -3.863 + -5.032 + -6.635 = $-12.0 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -0.873 + -0.178 + 0 + 0 = $-1.1 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 23.291 + -2.907 + -16.906 + -13.055 = $-9.6 Mil.
Total Receivables was $0.6 Mil.
Revenue was 209.461 + 192.323 + 185.012 + 208.215 = $795.0 Mil.
Gross Profit was 82.78 + 76.582 + 70.423 + 81.204 = $311.0 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $222.9 Mil.
Total Assets was $544.3 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $317.3 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $20.6 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $279.2 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $160.6 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $214.9 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(4.123 / 747.941) / (0.615 / 795.011)
=0.005512 / 0.000774
=7.1214

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(310.989 / 795.011) / (285.117 / 747.941)
=0.391176 / 0.381203
=1.0262

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (225.099 + 287.512) / 518.721) / (1 - (222.881 + 317.301) / 544.258)
=0.011779 / 0.007489
=1.5728

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=747.941 / 795.011
=0.9408

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(20.595 / (20.595 + 317.301)) / (18.99 / (18.99 + 287.512))
=0.060951 / 0.061957
=0.9838

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(284.53 / 747.941) / (279.177 / 795.011)
=0.380418 / 0.351161
=1.0833

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((188.81 + 169.904) / 518.721) / ((214.939 + 160.553) / 544.258)
=0.691536 / 0.689915
=1.0023

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-11.979 - -1.051 - -9.577) / 518.721
=-0.002604

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Citi Trends has a M-score of 3.31 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Citi Trends Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Citi Trends (Citi Trends) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
104 Coleman Boulevard, Savannah, GA, USA, 31408
Citi Trends Inc is a retailer of urban fashion apparel and accessories in the United States. The company offers apparel, including fashion sportswear for men and women, as well as children, such as newborns, infants, toddlers, boys, and girls; accessories comprising handbags, jewelry, footwear, belts, intimate apparel, scrubs, and sleepwear; and functional and decorative home products, as well as beauty products, books, and toys.
Executives
Fund 1 Investments, Llc 10 percent owner 100 CARR 115, UNIT 1900, RINCON PR 00677
Jonathan Duskin director MACELLUM CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC, 99 HUDSON STREET, 5TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10013
Pleasant Lake Partners Llc 10 percent owner 100 CARR 115 UNIT 1900, RINCON PR 00677
Pleasant Lake Onshore Feeder Fund Lp 10 percent owner 100 CARR 115 UNIT 1900, RINCON PR 00677
Vivek Bhargava officer: SVP, Supply Chain Operations 104 COLEMAN BOULEVARD, SAVANNAH GA 31408
Ivy D Council officer: SR VP of HR, Chief Compl Offcr C/O CITI TRENDS, INC., 102 FAHM STREET, SAVANNAH GA 31401
David N. Makuen director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O FIVE BELOW, INC., 1818 MARKET STREET, SUITE 2000, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Heather L Plutino officer: EVP and CFO 104 COLEMAN BOULEVARD, SAVANNAH GA 31408
Brian Carney director 5555 DARROW RD, HUDSON OH 44236
Laurens Goff director C/O CITI TRENDS, INC., 104 COLEMAN BLVD., SAVANNAH GA 31408
Jessica Berkowitz officer: SVP, Planning and Allocation 104 COLEMAN BOULEVARD, SAVANNAH GA 31408
Kenneth Duane Seipel director 26972 BURBANK, FOOTHILL RANCH CA 92610
Christina M Francis director 104 COLEMAN BOULEVARD, SAVANNAH GA 31408
Lisa A. Powell officer: Chief Merchandising Officer C/O CITI TRENDS, INC., 104 COLEMAN BLVD., SAVANNAH GA 31408
Charles J. Hynes officer: Senior VP - Supply Chain CITI TRENDS, INC., 104 COLEMAN BLVD., SAVANNAH GA 31408

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