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Poly Property Group Co (FRA:CMJ) Beneish M-Score : -2.48 (As of May. 26, 2024)


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What is Poly Property Group Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.48 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Poly Property Group Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:CMJ' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.65   Med: -2.31   Max: -1.55
Current: -2.48

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Poly Property Group Co was -1.55. The lowest was -2.65. And the median was -2.31.


Poly Property Group Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Poly Property Group Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Poly Property Group Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Poly Property Group Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.74 -2.02 -2.23 -2.15 -2.48

Poly Property Group Co Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.23 - -2.15 - -2.48

Competitive Comparison of Poly Property Group Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Real Estate - Development subindustry, Poly Property Group Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Poly Property Group Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Poly Property Group Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Poly Property Group Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Poly Property Group Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Poly Property Group Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9815+0.528 * 1.3191+0.404 * 0.9458+0.892 * 0.944+0.115 * 0.8487
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0447+4.679 * -0.01907-0.327 * 0.9824
=-2.51

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was €1,589 Mil.
Revenue was €5,257 Mil.
Gross Profit was €1,074 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €23,491 Mil.
Total Assets was €26,432 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €522 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €30 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €333 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €13,583 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €6,848 Mil.
Net Income was €186 Mil.
Gross Profit was €0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was €690 Mil.
Total Receivables was €1,715 Mil.
Revenue was €5,569 Mil.
Gross Profit was €1,500 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €24,299 Mil.
Total Assets was €27,503 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €543 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €26 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €338 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €13,257 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €8,382 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1589.021 / 5256.859) / (1714.992 / 5568.826)
=0.302276 / 0.307963
=0.9815

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1500.356 / 5568.826) / (1073.667 / 5256.859)
=0.269421 / 0.204241
=1.3191

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (23491.234 + 521.731) / 26431.843) / (1 - (24298.679 + 542.904) / 27502.724)
=0.091514 / 0.096759
=0.9458

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=5256.859 / 5568.826
=0.944

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(26.354 / (26.354 + 542.904)) / (30.1 / (30.1 + 521.731))
=0.046295 / 0.054546
=0.8487

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(332.978 / 5256.859) / (337.66 / 5568.826)
=0.063342 / 0.060634
=1.0447

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((6847.642 + 13583.418) / 26431.843) / ((8382.336 + 13257.208) / 27502.724)
=0.772971 / 0.786815
=0.9824

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(185.53 - 0 - 689.575) / 26431.843
=-0.01907

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Poly Property Group Co has a M-score of -2.51 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Poly Property Group Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Poly Property Group Co (FRA:CMJ) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
18 Harcourt Road, Room 2503, Admiralty Centre, Tower 1, Hong Kong, HKG
Poly Property Group Co Ltd is a real estate company. The company is organized into four segments; Property Development, Property Investment, Hotel Operations, and Others. The Property Development segment is its major focus area and accounts for most of the company's revenues. The property Investment and Management segment is engaged in property investment and management. The Hotel Operations segment deals with hotel and restaurant businesses and the Other Operations segment is engaged in the manufacture and sales of digital discs and others.

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