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Greif (FRA:GR3) Beneish M-Score : -2.71 (As of May. 20, 2024)


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What is Greif Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.71 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Greif's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:GR3' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.97   Med: -2.59   Max: -2.12
Current: -2.71

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Greif was -2.12. The lowest was -2.97. And the median was -2.59.


Greif Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Greif's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Greif Beneish M-Score Chart

Greif Annual Data
Trend Oct14 Oct15 Oct16 Oct17 Oct18 Oct19 Oct20 Oct21 Oct22 Oct23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.26 -2.76 -2.16 -2.69 -2.82

Greif Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.75 -2.89 -2.97 -2.82 -2.71

Competitive Comparison of Greif's Beneish M-Score

For the Packaging & Containers subindustry, Greif's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Greif's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Packaging & Containers Industry

For the Packaging & Containers industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Greif's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Greif's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Greif Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Greif for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1542+0.528 * 0.9523+0.404 * 1.0405+0.892 * 0.8126+0.115 * 1.0001
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1489+4.679 * -0.037343-0.327 * 0.9801
=-2.71

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jan24) TTM:Last Year (Jan23) TTM:
Total Receivables was €587 Mil.
Revenue was 1106.924 + 1239.055 + 1202.591 + 1193.717 = €4,742 Mil.
Gross Profit was 203.429 + 261.088 + 277.528 + 284.362 = €1,026 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €1,275 Mil.
Total Assets was €5,480 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €1,534 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €217 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €511 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €810 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €2,258 Mil.
Net Income was 61.69 + 64.207 + 81.631 + 101.414 = €309 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -14.688 + -29.736 + -17.266 + 3.283 = €-58 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 4.131 + 192.714 + 182.879 + 192.25 = €572 Mil.
Total Receivables was €626 Mil.
Revenue was 1179.488 + 1518.237 + 1594.524 + 1543.92 = €5,836 Mil.
Gross Profit was 233.485 + 314.751 + 341.003 + 313.636 = €1,203 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €1,366 Mil.
Total Assets was €5,281 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €1,442 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €204 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €548 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €817 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €2,200 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(586.786 / 4742.287) / (625.658 / 5836.169)
=0.123735 / 0.107204
=1.1542

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1202.875 / 5836.169) / (1026.407 / 4742.287)
=0.206107 / 0.216437
=0.9523

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1275.377 + 1533.519) / 5479.634) / (1 - (1365.552 + 1441.648) / 5280.877)
=0.487394 / 0.468422
=1.0405

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=4742.287 / 5836.169
=0.8126

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(204.187 / (204.187 + 1441.648)) / (217.183 / (217.183 + 1533.519))
=0.124063 / 0.124055
=1.0001

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(511.193 / 4742.287) / (547.554 / 5836.169)
=0.107795 / 0.093821
=1.1489

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((2258.464 + 810.319) / 5479.634) / ((2200.288 + 817.104) / 5280.877)
=0.560034 / 0.571381
=0.9801

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(308.942 - -58.407 - 571.974) / 5479.634
=-0.037343

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Greif has a M-score of -2.71 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Greif (FRA:GR3) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
425 Winter Road, Delaware, OH, USA, 43015
Greif Inc is a producer of industrial packaging products and services with manufacturing facilities located in many countries. It offers a comprehensive line of rigid industrial packaging products, such as steel, fiber, and plastic drums, rigid intermediate bulk containers, closure systems for industrial packaging products, transit protection products, water bottles and remanufactured and reconditioned industrial containers, and services, such as container life cycle management, blending, filling, logistics, warehousing, and other packaging services. The company operates in three reportable business segments including Global Industrial Packaging, Paper Packaging and Services, and Land Management. It operates in North and Latin America, Europe, Middle East, Africa and Asia Pacific regions.

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