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Oriental Watch Holdings (HKSE:00398) Beneish M-Score : -2.30 (As of May. 14, 2024)


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What is Oriental Watch Holdings Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.3 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Oriental Watch Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:00398' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.39   Med: -2.97   Max: -1.68
Current: -2.3

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Oriental Watch Holdings was -1.68. The lowest was -3.39. And the median was -2.97.


Oriental Watch Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Oriental Watch Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Oriental Watch Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Oriental Watch Holdings Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.93 -3.25 -1.68 -3.39 -2.30

Oriental Watch Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Mar14 Sep14 Mar15 Sep15 Mar16 Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -3.39 - -2.30 -

Competitive Comparison of Oriental Watch Holdings's Beneish M-Score

For the Luxury Goods subindustry, Oriental Watch Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Oriental Watch Holdings's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Oriental Watch Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Oriental Watch Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Oriental Watch Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Oriental Watch Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.2901+0.528 * 1.0106+0.404 * 1.2838+0.892 * 1.0178+0.115 * 0.8217
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9724+4.679 * -0.048312-0.327 * 0.943
=-2.30

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar23) TTM:Last Year (Mar22) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$309 Mil.
Revenue was HK$3,705 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$1,189 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$1,857 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$2,619 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$595 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$180 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$576 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$467 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$230 Mil.
Net Income was HK$295 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$422 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$235 Mil.
Revenue was HK$3,640 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$1,180 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$2,035 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$2,879 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$701 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$165 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$582 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$486 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$327 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(308.753 / 3704.677) / (235.129 / 3639.774)
=0.083341 / 0.0646
=1.2901

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1180.285 / 3639.774) / (1188.71 / 3704.677)
=0.324274 / 0.320867
=1.0106

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1856.691 + 595.417) / 2619.258) / (1 - (2035.403 + 700.749) / 2879.275)
=0.063816 / 0.049708
=1.2838

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=3704.677 / 3639.774
=1.0178

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(165.411 / (165.411 + 700.749)) / (180.273 / (180.273 + 595.417))
=0.19097 / 0.232403
=0.8217

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(576.373 / 3704.677) / (582.365 / 3639.774)
=0.15558 / 0.16
=0.9724

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((230.397 + 466.768) / 2619.258) / ((326.666 + 486.069) / 2879.275)
=0.266169 / 0.282271
=0.943

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(295.432 - 0 - 421.974) / 2619.258
=-0.048312

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Oriental Watch Holdings has a M-score of -2.30 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Oriental Watch Holdings Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Oriental Watch Holdings (HKSE:00398) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
111 Connaught Road Central, Wing On Centre, 19th Floor, Hong Kong, HKG
Oriental Watch Holdings Ltd is an investment holding company. Along with its subsidiaries, the company is engaged in the sales of watches. It operates in Hong Kong, the PRC, Macau, and Taiwan, of which a majority of revenue is generated from the PRC. The group sells its products through retail stores under the brand name Rolex, Tudor, Piaget, Vacheron Constantin, Audemars Piguet, IWC, Jaeger-LeCoultre, Girard Perregaux, Longines, and Omega, among others.

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