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Sunac China Holdings (HKSE:01918) Beneish M-Score : -2.33 (As of May. 11, 2024)


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What is Sunac China Holdings Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.33 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Sunac China Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:01918' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -15.06   Med: -2.3   Max: -0.71
Current: -2.33

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Sunac China Holdings was -0.71. The lowest was -15.06. And the median was -2.30.


Sunac China Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Sunac China Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Sunac China Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Sunac China Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.28 -2.31 -15.06 -2.33 -

Sunac China Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -15.06 - -2.33 - -

Competitive Comparison of Sunac China Holdings's Beneish M-Score

For the Real Estate - Development subindustry, Sunac China Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Sunac China Holdings's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Sunac China Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Sunac China Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Sunac China Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Sunac China Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.9809+0.528 * 1.0673+0.404 * 0.9576+0.892 * 0.4448+0.115 * 1.2751
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.5232+4.679 * -0.044403-0.327 * 1.0326
=-2.33

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec22) TTM:Last Year (Dec21) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$137,204 Mil.
Revenue was HK$108,044 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$-915 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$937,157 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$1,217,406 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$106,489 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$3,561 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$14,264 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$1,044,439 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$50,765 Mil.
Net Income was HK$-30,898 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$23,158 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$155,729 Mil.
Revenue was HK$242,918 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$-2,195 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$1,118,332 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$1,440,653 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$107,591 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$4,631 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$21,054 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$1,148,442 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$106,643 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(137203.699 / 108044.119) / (155729.205 / 242918.082)
=1.269886 / 0.641077
=1.9809

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(-2195.302 / 242918.082) / (-914.785 / 108044.119)
=-0.009037 / -0.008467
=1.0673

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (937157.32 + 106488.636) / 1217406.06) / (1 - (1118332.443 + 107591.272) / 1440653.066)
=0.14273 / 0.14905
=0.9576

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=108044.119 / 242918.082
=0.4448

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(4630.816 / (4630.816 + 107591.272)) / (3561.371 / (3561.371 + 106488.636))
=0.041265 / 0.032361
=1.2751

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(14263.639 / 108044.119) / (21053.912 / 242918.082)
=0.132017 / 0.086671
=1.5232

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((50764.809 + 1044439.012) / 1217406.06) / ((106642.792 + 1148442.217) / 1440653.066)
=0.899621 / 0.871192
=1.0326

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-30898.387 - 0 - 23158.371) / 1217406.06
=-0.044403

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Sunac China Holdings has a M-score of -2.33 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Sunac China Holdings Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Sunac China Holdings (HKSE:01918) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
No.278, Hongqi Road, Building 1, East Side in Hopsca Center International, Nankai District, Tianjin, CHN, 300381
Property developer Sunac China commenced operations in 2003 and listed on the Hong Kong exchange in 2010. Based in Tianjin, Sunac is geographically well diversified across China like many large-scale listed PRC developers, and into major cities including Shanghai, Beijing, Guangzhou, Shenzhen and Hainan. Sunac is founded by Sun Hongbin, major shareholder and chairman of the company that previously established Sunco Group and adopted a high leverage strategy, which Sunac also then embraced. On top of aggressive asset expansion in recent years, the significant acquisition of a stake in non-related business Leshi Internet, as well as the landmark portfolio acquisition of Dalian Wanda theme park assets on the back of a highly leveraged balance sheet, have also garnered much market attention.

Sunac China Holdings (HKSE:01918) Headlines

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