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Kaisa Prosperity Holdings (HKSE:02168) Beneish M-Score : -4.18 (As of May. 16, 2024)


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What is Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -4.18 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Kaisa Prosperity Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:02168' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.61   Med: -1.79   Max: 0.77
Current: -4.18

During the past 9 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Kaisa Prosperity Holdings was 0.77. The lowest was -4.61. And the median was -1.79.


Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Kaisa Prosperity Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only -0.44 -1.98 0.77 -1.79 -4.18

Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Dec15 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.77 - -1.79 - -4.18

Competitive Comparison of Kaisa Prosperity Holdings's Beneish M-Score

For the Real Estate Services subindustry, Kaisa Prosperity Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Kaisa Prosperity Holdings's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Kaisa Prosperity Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Kaisa Prosperity Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Kaisa Prosperity Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.5592+0.528 * 0.9844+0.404 * 1.3006+0.892 * 0.9852+0.115 * 0.9827
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8395+4.679 * -0.282169-0.327 * 1.3065
=-4.18

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$672 Mil.
Revenue was HK$1,963 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$526 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$986 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$2,000 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$222 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$33 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$221 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$948 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$7 Mil.
Net Income was HK$-492 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$72 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$1,220 Mil.
Revenue was HK$1,992 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$526 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$1,497 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$2,511 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$250 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$36 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$268 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$906 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$11 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(672.112 / 1962.531) / (1219.971 / 1992.088)
=0.342472 / 0.612408
=0.5592

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(526.092 / 1992.088) / (526.487 / 1962.531)
=0.264091 / 0.268269
=0.9844

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (986.271 + 222.355) / 2000.255) / (1 - (1496.705 + 250.284) / 2511.116)
=0.395764 / 0.304298
=1.3006

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1962.531 / 1992.088
=0.9852

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(36.055 / (36.055 + 250.284)) / (32.677 / (32.677 + 222.355))
=0.125917 / 0.128129
=0.9827

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(221.434 / 1962.531) / (267.745 / 1992.088)
=0.112831 / 0.134404
=0.8395

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((7.028 + 947.683) / 2000.255) / ((11.224 + 906.146) / 2511.116)
=0.477295 / 0.365324
=1.3065

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-492.183 - 0 - 72.227) / 2000.255
=-0.282169

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Kaisa Prosperity Holdings has a M-score of -4.18 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Kaisa Prosperity Holdings (HKSE:02168) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
66 Nanyuan Road, Room 507, Block A, Kaisa Center, Futian District, Shenzhen, CHN
Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Ltd is an investment holding company. It is engaged in four operating business segments. The property management services include providing security, cleaning and gardening, and property repair and maintenance services to residential communities, commercial properties, and public facilities; pre-delivery & consulting services include construction sites management, display units, and property sales venues management and consulting services; community value-added services include fees generated from the car parking, space leasing, and value-added services through both offline and online channels; and smart solution services include installation and maintenance services. Geographically, the company operates across China.

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