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Agile Group Holdings (HKSE:03383) Beneish M-Score : 4.07 (As of May. 26, 2024)


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What is Agile Group Holdings Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score 4.07 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Agile Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:03383' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.75   Med: -1.9   Max: 4.07
Current: 4.07

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Agile Group Holdings was 4.07. The lowest was -2.75. And the median was -1.90.


Agile Group Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Agile Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Agile Group Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Agile Group Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.63 -1.90 -1.89 4.07 -

Agile Group Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.89 - 4.07 - -

Competitive Comparison of Agile Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score

For the Real Estate - Development subindustry, Agile Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Agile Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Agile Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Agile Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Agile Group Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Agile Group Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.407+0.528 * 14.0601+0.404 * 1.0717+0.892 * 0.6748+0.115 * 1.0422
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0533+4.679 * -0.096567-0.327 * 0.9978
=4.07

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec22) TTM:Last Year (Dec21) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$73,332 Mil.
Revenue was HK$60,341 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$1,118 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$201,135 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$305,290 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$18,623 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$1,458 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$6,185 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$170,026 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$39,750 Mil.
Net Income was HK$-15,618 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$13,863 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$77,237 Mil.
Revenue was HK$89,420 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$23,291 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$266,763 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$387,617 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$19,524 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$1,598 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$8,702 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$200,132 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$66,802 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(73331.509 / 60340.928) / (77236.779 / 89420.113)
=1.215286 / 0.863752
=1.407

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(23290.678 / 89420.113) / (1117.812 / 60340.928)
=0.260464 / 0.018525
=14.0601

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (201135.154 + 18622.624) / 305289.943) / (1 - (266763.443 + 19523.914) / 387617.07)
=0.280167 / 0.261417
=1.0717

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=60340.928 / 89420.113
=0.6748

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1598.411 / (1598.411 + 19523.914)) / (1458.115 / (1458.115 + 18622.624))
=0.075674 / 0.072613
=1.0422

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(6184.698 / 60340.928) / (8701.654 / 89420.113)
=0.102496 / 0.097312
=1.0533

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((39750.153 + 170025.651) / 305289.943) / ((66801.602 + 200132.468) / 387617.07)
=0.687136 / 0.688654
=0.9978

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-15618.203 - 0 - 13862.683) / 305289.943
=-0.096567

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Agile Group Holdings has a M-score of 4.07 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Agile Group Holdings Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Agile Group Holdings (HKSE:03383) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
26 Huaxia Road, 33rd Floor, Agile Center, Zhujiang New Town, Tianhe District, Guangdong Province, Guangzhou, CHN, 510623
Agile Group is one of the largest Chinese developers listed (2005) on the Hong Kong Exchange. Its main business is property development, with a land bank spread across China and overseas, including key cities in Zhongshan, Guangzhou, and Hainan. Agile spun off its complementary property management business A-Living Services on the Hong Kong Exchange in February 2018; we believe this business is poised to enjoy healthy organic and inorganic growth in gross floor area under management. The company also operates a commercial portfolio consisting of hotels and investment properties, as well as construction. Its environmental business covers waste and water treatment, currently operating in an initial growth phase.
Executives
Luk Sin Fong, Fion
Chan Cheuk Yin
Top Coast Investment Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Chan Cheuk Hei 2305 Beneficiary of a trust
Chan Cheuk Hung 2305 Beneficiary of a trust
Chan Cheuk Nam 2305 Beneficiary of a trust
Chan Siu Na 2202 Interest of your spouse
Chen Zhuo Lin 2305 Beneficiary of a trust
Lu Liqing 2202 Interest of your spouse
Lu Yanping 2202 Interest of your spouse
Zheng Huiqiong 2202 Interest of your spouse
Fu Feng Tou Zi You Xian Gong Si 2301 Trustee
Chen Sze Long 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Wang Huizhao 2202 Interest of your spouse

Agile Group Holdings (HKSE:03383) Headlines

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