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Greentown China Holdings (HKSE:03900) Beneish M-Score : -2.52 (As of May. 24, 2024)


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What is Greentown China Holdings Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.52 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Greentown China Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:03900' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.66   Med: -2.29   Max: -1.81
Current: -2.52

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Greentown China Holdings was -1.81. The lowest was -2.66. And the median was -2.29.


Greentown China Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Greentown China Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Greentown China Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Greentown China Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.01 -2.27 -1.83 -2.42 -2.52

Greentown China Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.83 - -2.42 - -2.52

Competitive Comparison of Greentown China Holdings's Beneish M-Score

For the Real Estate - Development subindustry, Greentown China Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Greentown China Holdings's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Greentown China Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Greentown China Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Greentown China Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Greentown China Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.933+0.528 * 1.3327+0.404 * 0.9609+0.892 * 1.012+0.115 * 1.1068
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9185+4.679 * -0.037077-0.327 * 0.999
=-2.52

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$90,807 Mil.
Revenue was HK$143,704 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$18,674 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$507,213 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$585,759 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$13,266 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$853 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$8,605 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$331,686 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$124,781 Mil.
Net Income was HK$3,410 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$25,128 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$96,170 Mil.
Revenue was HK$141,994 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$24,591 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$516,337 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$597,528 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$11,892 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$852 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$9,257 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$340,324 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$125,797 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(90807.244 / 143704.115) / (96170.392 / 141993.706)
=0.631904 / 0.677286
=0.933

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(24590.892 / 141993.706) / (18673.935 / 143704.115)
=0.173183 / 0.129947
=1.3327

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (507213.13 + 13266.02) / 585759.035) / (1 - (516336.78 + 11892.218) / 597528.352)
=0.111445 / 0.115977
=0.9609

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=143704.115 / 141993.706
=1.012

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(851.937 / (851.937 + 11892.218)) / (852.779 / (852.779 + 13266.02))
=0.066849 / 0.0604
=1.1068

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(8605.005 / 143704.115) / (9256.805 / 141993.706)
=0.05988 / 0.065192
=0.9185

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((124781.399 + 331686.346) / 585759.035) / ((125797.304 + 340323.82) / 597528.352)
=0.779276 / 0.780082
=0.999

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(3410.057 - 0 - 25128.115) / 585759.035
=-0.037077

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Greentown China Holdings has a M-score of -2.52 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Greentown China Holdings Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Greentown China Holdings (HKSE:03900) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
No. 1 Hangda Road, 10th Floor, Block A, Dragon Century Plaza, Zhejiang, Hangzhou, CHN, 310007
Greentown China Holdings Ltd, or Greentown, is a China property developer headquartered in Hangzhou. Founded by Song Weiping, the company listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange in 2006. Predominantly a property developer is known for high-end residential projects with landbank geographically focused in Zhejiang and the Bohai Rim, Greentown is also noted for being one of the first developers to embark on the asset-light construction management model to generate development fee income from third-party construction and project management services. In June 2012, Wharf entered as a strategic shareholder of the company.
Executives
China Communications Construction Group Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Xiang Gang Xin Hu Tou Zi You Xian Gong Si 2101 Beneficial owner
Zhe Jiang Xin Hu Ji Tuan Gu Fen You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Xin Hu Zhong Bao Gu Fen You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Li Ping 2202 Interest of your spouse
Huang Wei 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Song Weiping
Cccg Holding (hk) Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Wheelock And Company Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
The Wharf (holdings) Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Hsbc Trustee (c.i.) Limited 2301 Trustee
Ever Step Holdings Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
First Pioneer Holdings Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
King Focus International Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Ping An Securities Group (holdings) Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you

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