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Arrail Group (HKSE:06639) Beneish M-Score : -0.73 (As of Jun. 04, 2024)


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What is Arrail Group Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -0.73 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Arrail Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:06639' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.03   Med: -3.97   Max: -0.73
Current: -0.73

During the past 5 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Arrail Group was -0.73. The lowest was -4.03. And the median was -3.97.


Arrail Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Arrail Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Arrail Group Beneish M-Score Chart

Arrail Group Annual Data
Trend Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Beneish M-Score
- - -3.97 -4.03 -0.73

Arrail Group Semi-Annual Data
Mar19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only - -4.03 - -0.73 -

Competitive Comparison of Arrail Group's Beneish M-Score

For the Medical Care Facilities subindustry, Arrail Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Arrail Group's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Healthcare Providers & Services Industry

For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry and Healthcare sector, Arrail Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Arrail Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Arrail Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Arrail Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 3.2697+0.528 * 1.2364+0.404 * 1.4628+0.892 * 0.8385+0.115 * 0.951
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8354+4.679 * -0.114829-0.327 * 0.9639
=-0.73

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar23) TTM:Last Year (Mar22) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$321 Mil.
Revenue was HK$1,679 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$281 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$1,747 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$3,487 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$1,158 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$298 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$104 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$826 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$699 Mil.
Net Income was HK$-250 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$150 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$117 Mil.
Revenue was HK$2,002 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$415 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$2,009 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$3,687 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$1,257 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$304 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$149 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$919 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$754 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(321.354 / 1678.583) / (117.209 / 2001.817)
=0.191444 / 0.058551
=3.2697

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(414.97 / 2001.817) / (281.427 / 1678.583)
=0.207297 / 0.167657
=1.2364

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1746.703 + 1157.525) / 3487.188) / (1 - (2008.902 + 1256.801) / 3687.055)
=0.167172 / 0.114279
=1.4628

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1678.583 / 2001.817
=0.8385

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(303.688 / (303.688 + 1256.801)) / (297.81 / (297.81 + 1157.525))
=0.194611 / 0.204633
=0.951

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(104.175 / 1678.583) / (148.708 / 2001.817)
=0.062061 / 0.074287
=0.8354

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((698.745 + 825.641) / 3487.188) / ((753.585 + 918.501) / 3687.055)
=0.437139 / 0.453502
=0.9639

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-250.475 - 0 - 149.956) / 3487.188
=-0.114829

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Arrail Group has a M-score of -0.73 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Arrail Group Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Arrail Group (HKSE:06639) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
No. 18, Ziyue Road, 6th Floor, Building 11, Chaolai Science Park, Chaoyang District, Beijing, CHN
Arrail Group Ltd is a dental services provider in the premium private dental service market in China.
Executives
Zou Qifang
The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.
Arrail Sunshine Holdings Limited 2301 Trustee
Kastle Limited 2301 Trustee
Total Success Investment Ltd. 2101 Beneficial owner
Zhang Zheng 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Young Roger K C 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Empire Choice International Limited 2501 Other
Buckley John Paul 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
19 Growth Capital Fund Lp 2102 Investment manager
19 Growth Capital Fund Gp Inc. 2102 Investment manager
Rise Day Holdings Limited
United Culture Assets Limited
Qiming Gp Ii, L.p. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Kpcb China Associates Ltd 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you

Arrail Group (HKSE:06639) Headlines

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