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Dongguan Rural Commercial Bank Co (HKSE:09889) Beneish M-Score : -2.61 (As of Jun. 05, 2024)


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What is Dongguan Rural Commercial Bank Co Beneish M-Score?

Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.61 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Dongguan Rural Commercial Bank Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:09889' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.69   Med: -2.52   Max: -2.31
Current: -2.61

During the past 6 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Dongguan Rural Commercial Bank Co was -2.31. The lowest was -2.69. And the median was -2.52.


Dongguan Rural Commercial Bank Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Dongguan Rural Commercial Bank Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 1.0004+0.892 * 0.9898+0.115 * 0.9723
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.2238+4.679 * -0.015038-0.327 * 1.0405
=-2.61

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$0 Mil.
Revenue was HK$14,621 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$14,621 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$0 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$775,329 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$3,009 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$462 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$1,350 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$79,131 Mil.
Net Income was HK$5,645 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$17,305 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$0 Mil.
Revenue was HK$14,772 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$14,772 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$0 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$734,452 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$3,176 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$473 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$1,115 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$72,039 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(0 / 14621.055) / (0 / 14771.644)
=0 / 0
=1

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(14771.644 / 14771.644) / (14621.055 / 14621.055)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (0 + 3009.105) / 775329.092) / (1 - (0 + 3175.963) / 734452.072)
=0.996119 / 0.995676
=1.0004

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=14621.055 / 14771.644
=0.9898

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(472.505 / (472.505 + 3175.963)) / (462.406 / (462.406 + 3009.105))
=0.129508 / 0.1332
=0.9723

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1350.123 / 14621.055) / (1114.554 / 14771.644)
=0.092341 / 0.075452
=1.2238

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((79131.162 + 0) / 775329.092) / ((72038.801 + 0) / 734452.072)
=0.102061 / 0.098085
=1.0405

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(5645.302 - 0 - 17304.657) / 775329.092
=-0.015038

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Dongguan Rural Commercial Bank Co has a M-score of -2.61 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Dongguan Rural Commercial Bank Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Dongguan Rural Commercial Bank Co (HKSE:09889) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No.2, Hongfu East Road, Dongcheng District, Guangdong Province, Dongguan, CHN, 523123
Dongguan Rural Commercial Bank Co Ltd is engaged in providing financial services in China. It operates in four segments: Corporate banking, which covers financial products and services to corporate customers, governments, and financial institutions; Personal banking business segment covers financial products and services to individual customers; Treasury segment covers the Group's money market transactions, repurchase transactions, debt instrument investments, wealth management products, and precious metals; and Others.
Executives
Scoperto Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Lee Kar Lung 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Lion Fund Management Co.,ltd. 2102 Investment manager
Central Huijin Investment Ltd. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Nong Yin Guo Ji Kong Gu You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Nong Yin Guo Ji Tou Zi Guan Li You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Zhong Guo Nong Ye Yin Xing Gu Fen You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Jun Xi You Xian Gong Si 2106 Person having a security interest in shares
Yam Tak Cheung 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Fook Man Development Company Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Dong Guan Shi Ren Min Zheng Fu Guo You Zi Chan Jian Du Guan Li Wei Yuan Hui 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Guo Tai Ji Jin Guan Li You Xian Gong Si
Cai Tong Ji Jin Guan Li You Xian Gong Si 2501 Other
Cai Tong Zheng Quan Gu Fen You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Dong Guan Shi Jiao Tong Tou Zi Ji Tuan You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you