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Ayen Enerji AS (IST:AYEN) Beneish M-Score : 0.56 (As of May. 29, 2024)


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What is Ayen Enerji AS Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score 0.56 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ayen Enerji AS's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

IST:AYEN' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.74   Med: -2.48   Max: 1.87
Current: 0.56

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Ayen Enerji AS was 1.87. The lowest was -3.74. And the median was -2.48.


Ayen Enerji AS Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Ayen Enerji AS's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Ayen Enerji AS Beneish M-Score Chart

Ayen Enerji AS Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.74 -2.45 -0.68 1.87 0.56

Ayen Enerji AS Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.87 1.05 -0.28 -1.56 0.56

Competitive Comparison of Ayen Enerji AS's Beneish M-Score

For the Utilities - Independent Power Producers subindustry, Ayen Enerji AS's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ayen Enerji AS's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Utilities - Independent Power Producers Industry

For the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry and Utilities sector, Ayen Enerji AS's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ayen Enerji AS's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Ayen Enerji AS Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Ayen Enerji AS for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 2.0525+0.528 * 1.8496+0.404 * 1.8536+0.892 * 0.4543+0.115 * 1.0043
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 4.0767+4.679 * 0.201143-0.327 * 0.7501
=-0.71

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₺1,276 Mil.
Revenue was 1537.913 + 1232.146 + 1038.026 + 1478.102 = ₺5,286 Mil.
Gross Profit was 262.48 + 247.513 + 311.759 + 221.056 = ₺1,043 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₺1,922 Mil.
Total Assets was ₺16,436 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₺12,158 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₺509 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₺231 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₺1,623 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₺4,017 Mil.
Net Income was 783.959 + 76.052 + 181.443 + 80.667 = ₺1,122 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ₺0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -1068.376 + 24.638 + -403.915 + -736.225 = ₺-2,184 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₺1,369 Mil.
Revenue was 7120.416 + 2280.684 + 1299.091 + 934.831 = ₺11,635 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2461.316 + 744.488 + 502.732 + 536.674 = ₺4,245 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₺5,314 Mil.
Total Assets was ₺18,554 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₺11,805 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₺497 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₺125 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₺3,637 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₺4,851 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1276.314 / 5286.187) / (1368.688 / 11635.022)
=0.241443 / 0.117635
=2.0525

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(4245.21 / 11635.022) / (1042.808 / 5286.187)
=0.364865 / 0.19727
=1.8496

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1921.552 + 12157.804) / 16436.046) / (1 - (5313.912 + 11804.544) / 18553.68)
=0.143385 / 0.077355
=1.8536

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=5286.187 / 11635.022
=0.4543

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(496.559 / (496.559 + 11804.544)) / (509.136 / (509.136 + 12157.804))
=0.040367 / 0.040194
=1.0043

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(230.697 / 5286.187) / (124.551 / 11635.022)
=0.043641 / 0.010705
=4.0767

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((4016.989 + 1622.669) / 16436.046) / ((4850.967 + 3636.665) / 18553.68)
=0.343127 / 0.457464
=0.7501

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1122.121 - 0 - -2183.878) / 16436.046
=0.201143

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Ayen Enerji AS has a M-score of -0.71 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Ayen Enerji AS Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Ayen Enerji AS (IST:AYEN) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Hulya Sokak No: 37, Gaziosmanpasa, Ankara, TUR, 06700
Ayen Enerji AS is a Turkey-based company engaged in the generation, transmission, distribution, and trading of electricity. The company's geographical segment includes Turkey and Abroad. It generates maximum revenue from Abroad. The company generates the majority of its energy from Hydro plants. The companies located in abroad operate in Albania, Serbia, and Slovenia.

Ayen Enerji AS (IST:AYEN) Headlines

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