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Erbosan Erciyas Borunayii ve Ticaret AS (IST:ERBOS) Beneish M-Score : -1.50 (As of May. 17, 2024)


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What is Erbosan Erciyas Borunayii ve Ticaret AS Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.5 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Erbosan Erciyas Borunayii ve Ticaret AS's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

IST:ERBOS' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.71   Med: -1.79   Max: 2.14
Current: -1.5

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Erbosan Erciyas Borunayii ve Ticaret AS was 2.14. The lowest was -2.71. And the median was -1.79.


Erbosan Erciyas Borunayii ve Ticaret AS Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Erbosan Erciyas Borunayii ve Ticaret AS's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Erbosan Erciyas Borunayii ve Ticaret AS Beneish M-Score Chart

Erbosan Erciyas Borunayii ve Ticaret AS Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.86 2.14 -1.30 -1.11 -1.50

Erbosan Erciyas Borunayii ve Ticaret AS Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.11 -2.60 -2.90 -2.11 -1.50

Competitive Comparison of Erbosan Erciyas Borunayii ve Ticaret AS's Beneish M-Score

For the Metal Fabrication subindustry, Erbosan Erciyas Borunayii ve Ticaret AS's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Erbosan Erciyas Borunayii ve Ticaret AS's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Erbosan Erciyas Borunayii ve Ticaret AS's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Erbosan Erciyas Borunayii ve Ticaret AS's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Erbosan Erciyas Borunayii ve Ticaret AS Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Erbosan Erciyas Borunayii ve Ticaret AS for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.4177+0.528 * 1.3732+0.404 * 2.8551+0.892 * 0.7981+0.115 * 2.7122
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.6744+4.679 * -0.083875-0.327 * 1.1063
=-1.50

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₺729 Mil.
Revenue was 1854.937 + 754.886 + 576.714 + 613.635 = ₺3,800 Mil.
Gross Profit was 309.923 + 139.098 + 91.967 + 95.369 = ₺636 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₺2,256 Mil.
Total Assets was ₺3,206 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₺883 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₺1 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₺201 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₺1,017 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₺29 Mil.
Net Income was -411.025 + 95.189 + 95.639 + 71.412 = ₺-149 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ₺0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 178.595 + -169.502 + 33.41 + 77.607 = ₺120 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₺644 Mil.
Revenue was 2951.544 + 566.911 + 681.1 + 562.053 = ₺4,762 Mil.
Gross Profit was 599.391 + 110.079 + 196.134 + 189.327 = ₺1,095 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₺2,378 Mil.
Total Assets was ₺3,043 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₺643 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₺2 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₺373 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₺898 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₺0 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(728.887 / 3800.172) / (644.198 / 4761.608)
=0.191804 / 0.13529
=1.4177

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1094.931 / 4761.608) / (636.357 / 3800.172)
=0.22995 / 0.167455
=1.3732

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2256.168 + 882.825) / 3205.894) / (1 - (2377.577 + 643.076) / 3042.892)
=0.020868 / 0.007309
=2.8551

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=3800.172 / 4761.608
=0.7981

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(2.14 / (2.14 + 643.076)) / (1.081 / (1.081 + 882.825))
=0.003317 / 0.001223
=2.7122

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(200.539 / 3800.172) / (372.613 / 4761.608)
=0.052771 / 0.078254
=0.6744

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((29.491 + 1017.239) / 3205.894) / ((0 + 898.069) / 3042.892)
=0.326502 / 0.295137
=1.1063

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-148.785 - 0 - 120.11) / 3205.894
=-0.083875

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Erbosan Erciyas Borunayii ve Ticaret AS has a M-score of -1.50 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Erbosan Erciyas Borunayii ve Ticaret AS Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Erbosan Erciyas Borunayii ve Ticaret AS (IST:ERBOS) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
895 Sokak PK.375, Anbar Mahallesi, Kayseri, TUR
Erbosan Erciyas Boru Sanayii ve Ticaret AS is a Turkey-based company engaged mainly in the business of manufacturing pipes. The product portfolio of the company includes Black Pipes, Galvanized Pipes, Hollow Sections, Gas and Line Pipes, Industrial Tubes and Sprinkler Pipes.

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