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Ersan Alisveris Hizmetleri ve Gidanayi Ticaret AS (IST:KIMMR) Beneish M-Score : -1.21 (As of May. 14, 2024)


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What is Ersan Alisveris Hizmetleri ve Gidanayi Ticaret AS Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.21 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ersan Alisveris Hizmetleri ve Gidanayi Ticaret AS's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

IST:KIMMR' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.25   Med: -1.29   Max: -0.73
Current: -1.21

During the past 5 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Ersan Alisveris Hizmetleri ve Gidanayi Ticaret AS was -0.73. The lowest was -2.25. And the median was -1.29.


Ersan Alisveris Hizmetleri ve Gidanayi Ticaret AS Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Ersan Alisveris Hizmetleri ve Gidanayi Ticaret AS's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Ersan Alisveris Hizmetleri ve Gidanayi Ticaret AS Beneish M-Score Chart

Ersan Alisveris Hizmetleri ve Gidanayi Ticaret AS Annual Data
Trend Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Beneish M-Score
- - - -1.52 -1.17

Ersan Alisveris Hizmetleri ve Gidanayi Ticaret AS Quarterly Data
Dec18 Dec19 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.88 -1.17 -0.73 -1.29 -1.21

Competitive Comparison of Ersan Alisveris Hizmetleri ve Gidanayi Ticaret AS's Beneish M-Score

For the Department Stores subindustry, Ersan Alisveris Hizmetleri ve Gidanayi Ticaret AS's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ersan Alisveris Hizmetleri ve Gidanayi Ticaret AS's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Ersan Alisveris Hizmetleri ve Gidanayi Ticaret AS's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ersan Alisveris Hizmetleri ve Gidanayi Ticaret AS's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Ersan Alisveris Hizmetleri ve Gidanayi Ticaret AS Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Ersan Alisveris Hizmetleri ve Gidanayi Ticaret AS for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.2198+0.528 * 1.0245+0.404 * 1.1576+0.892 * 2.0944+0.115 * 2.5566
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.7439+4.679 * -0.039323-0.327 * 1.0797
=-1.21

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep23) TTM:Last Year (Sep22) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₺148 Mil.
Revenue was 1295.388 + 1150.772 + 1002.728 + 803.475 = ₺4,252 Mil.
Gross Profit was 307.434 + 275.029 + 248.67 + 197.563 = ₺1,029 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₺1,283 Mil.
Total Assets was ₺2,460 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₺933 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₺31 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₺175 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₺1,081 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₺571 Mil.
Net Income was 5.004 + 65.876 + 10.123 + 33.992 = ₺115 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ₺0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 69.351 + 137.433 + 5.592 + -0.632 = ₺212 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₺58 Mil.
Revenue was 641.336 + 573.354 + 445.773 + 369.845 = ₺2,030 Mil.
Gross Profit was 158.746 + 134.534 + 112.98 + 96.935 = ₺503 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₺833 Mil.
Total Assets was ₺1,253 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₺313 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₺28 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₺112 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₺621 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₺159 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(147.804 / 4252.363) / (57.855 / 2030.308)
=0.034758 / 0.028496
=1.2198

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(503.195 / 2030.308) / (1028.696 / 4252.363)
=0.247842 / 0.241912
=1.0245

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1282.998 + 932.871) / 2460.359) / (1 - (832.757 + 312.909) / 1253.247)
=0.099372 / 0.085842
=1.1576

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=4252.363 / 2030.308
=2.0944

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(27.928 / (27.928 + 312.909)) / (30.888 / (30.888 + 932.871))
=0.081939 / 0.03205
=2.5566

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(174.534 / 4252.363) / (112.027 / 2030.308)
=0.041044 / 0.055177
=0.7439

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((570.698 + 1081.428) / 2460.359) / ((158.531 + 620.936) / 1253.247)
=0.671498 / 0.621958
=1.0797

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(114.995 - 0 - 211.744) / 2460.359
=-0.039323

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Ersan Alisveris Hizmetleri ve Gidanayi Ticaret AS has a M-score of -1.21 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Ersan Alisveris Hizmetleri ve Gidanayi Ticaret AS Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Ersan Alisveris Hizmetleri ve Gidanayi Ticaret AS (IST:KIMMR) Business Description

Comparable Companies
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Hadimkoy Mah. Metin Oktay Cad. No: 3/1, Arnavutkoy, Istanbul, TUR
Ersan Alisveris Hizmetleri ve Gida Sanayi Ticaret AS is a supermarket chain in Turkey. It has around five stores.

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