Ray Sigorta AS Beneish M-Score Calculation
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of Ray Sigorta AS for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
| M | = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * DSRI | + | 0.528 * GMI | + | 0.404 * AQI | + | 0.892 * SGI | + | 0.115 * DEPI |
| = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * 0.6978 | + | 0.528 * 1 | + | 0.404 * 1.0101 | + | 0.892 * 2.8778 | + | 0.115 * 0.7076 |
| - | 0.172 * SGAI | + | 4.679 * TATA | - | 0.327 * LVGI |
| - | 0.172 * 1.1072 | + | 4.679 * 0.064434 | - | 0.327 * 0.1736 |
| = | -0.56 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
| This Year (Dec23) TTM: | Last Year (Dec22) TTM: |
Total Receivables was ₺3,765 Mil.
Revenue was 2020.568 + 1600.978 + 1521.652 + 988.657 = ₺6,132 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2020.568 + 1600.978 + 1521.652 + 988.657 = ₺6,132 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₺0 Mil.
Total Assets was ₺10,865 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₺771 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₺50 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₺66 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₺0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₺1 Mil.
Net Income was 123.638 + 427.853 + 228.034 + 122.411 = ₺902 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 250.007 + 141.105 + 187.516 + 22.884 = ₺602 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -1197.688 + 221.475 + -253.273 + 829.842 = ₺-400 Mil.
|
Total Receivables was ₺1,875 Mil.
Revenue was 788.782 + 558.706 + 424.733 + 358.488 = ₺2,131 Mil.
Gross Profit was 788.782 + 558.706 + 424.733 + 358.488 = ₺2,131 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₺0 Mil.
Total Assets was ₺5,442 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₺437 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₺20 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₺21 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₺0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₺4 Mil.
|
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
| DSRI | = | (Receivables_t / Revenue_t) | / | (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) |
| = | (3765.368 / 6131.855) | / | (1874.912 / 2130.709) |
| = | 0.614067 | / | 0.879947 |
| | = | 0.6978 |
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
| GMI | = | GrossMargin_t-1 | / | GrossMargin_t |
| = | (GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) | / | (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t) |
| = | (2130.709 / 2130.709) | / | (6131.855 / 6131.855) |
| = | 1 | / | 1 |
| | = | 1 |
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.
| AQI | = | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
| = | (1 - (0 + 770.546) / 10864.866) | / | (1 - (0 + 436.574) / 5442.492) |
| = | 0.929079 | / | 0.919784 |
| | = | 1.0101 |
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
| SGI | = | Sales_t | / | Sales_t-1 |
| = | Revenue_t | / | Revenue_t-1 |
| = | 6131.855 | / | 2130.709 |
| | = | 2.8778 |
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
| DEPI | = | (Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) | / | (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t)) |
| = | (19.865 / (19.865 + 436.574)) | / | (50.498 / (50.498 + 770.546)) |
| = | 0.043522 | / | 0.061505 |
| | = | 0.7076 |
Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
| SGAI | = | (SGA_t / Sales_t) | / | (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1) |
| = | (66.441 / 6131.855) | / | (20.852 / 2130.709) |
| = | 0.010835 | / | 0.009786 |
| | = | 1.1072 |
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage
| LVGI | = | ((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
| = | ((1.411 + 0) / 10864.866) | / | ((4.075 + 0) / 5442.492) |
| = | 0.00013 | / | 0.000749 |
| | = | 0.1736 |
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
| TATA | = | (IncomefromContinuingOperations_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
| = | (NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
| = | (901.936 - 601.512 | - | -399.644) | / | 10864.866 |
| | = | 0.064434 |
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Ray Sigorta AS has a M-score of -0.56 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
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