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PT Argha Karya Prima Industry Tbk (ISX:AKPI) Beneish M-Score : -2.20 (As of May. 25, 2024)


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What is PT Argha Karya Prima Industry Tbk Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.2 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for PT Argha Karya Prima Industry Tbk's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ISX:AKPI' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.49   Med: -2.5   Max: -1.7
Current: -2.2

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of PT Argha Karya Prima Industry Tbk was -1.70. The lowest was -3.49. And the median was -2.50.


PT Argha Karya Prima Industry Tbk Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for PT Argha Karya Prima Industry Tbk's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

PT Argha Karya Prima Industry Tbk Beneish M-Score Chart

PT Argha Karya Prima Industry Tbk Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.91 -2.98 -2.17 -2.21 -2.14

PT Argha Karya Prima Industry Tbk Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.54 -2.38 -2.33 -2.14 -2.20

Competitive Comparison of PT Argha Karya Prima Industry Tbk's Beneish M-Score

For the Packaging & Containers subindustry, PT Argha Karya Prima Industry Tbk's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PT Argha Karya Prima Industry Tbk's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Packaging & Containers Industry

For the Packaging & Containers industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, PT Argha Karya Prima Industry Tbk's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PT Argha Karya Prima Industry Tbk's Beneish M-Score falls into.



PT Argha Karya Prima Industry Tbk Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of PT Argha Karya Prima Industry Tbk for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.2534+0.528 * 1.2773+0.404 * 1.2194+0.892 * 0.9188+0.115 * 0.9559
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8487+4.679 * -0.028578-0.327 * 1.0218
=-2.20

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was Rp666,378 Mil.
Revenue was 760511.115 + 675657.064 + 698258.034 + 619010.97 = Rp2,753,437 Mil.
Gross Profit was 76421.169 + 76410.494 + 31192.55 + 50685.565 = Rp234,710 Mil.
Total Current Assets was Rp1,290,797 Mil.
Total Assets was Rp3,465,704 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was Rp1,926,474 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was Rp3,283 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was Rp124,226 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was Rp1,120,166 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was Rp393,128 Mil.
Net Income was 2460.584 + -12641.628 + -18183.413 + -13297.278 = Rp-41,662 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = Rp0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -30428.108 + -3222.048 + 138617.656 + -47587.541 = Rp57,380 Mil.
Total Receivables was Rp578,651 Mil.
Revenue was 730705.425 + 661814.019 + 773254.364 + 830936.765 = Rp2,996,711 Mil.
Gross Profit was 66689.558 + 81177.31 + 83935.94 + 94467.354 = Rp326,270 Mil.
Total Current Assets was Rp1,241,662 Mil.
Total Assets was Rp3,348,101 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was Rp1,909,622 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was Rp3,110 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was Rp159,301 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was Rp969,457 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was Rp461,231 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(666377.623 / 2753437.183) / (578650.927 / 2996710.573)
=0.242017 / 0.193095
=1.2534

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(326270.162 / 2996710.573) / (234709.778 / 2753437.183)
=0.108876 / 0.085242
=1.2773

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1290797.354 + 1926473.848) / 3465704.191) / (1 - (1241661.619 + 1909621.655) / 3348101.279)
=0.071683 / 0.058785
=1.2194

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2753437.183 / 2996710.573
=0.9188

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(3109.995 / (3109.995 + 1909621.655)) / (3283.232 / (3283.232 + 1926473.848))
=0.001626 / 0.001701
=0.9559

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(124225.735 / 2753437.183) / (159300.589 / 2996710.573)
=0.045117 / 0.053158
=0.8487

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((393127.857 + 1120165.561) / 3465704.191) / ((461230.885 + 969456.932) / 3348101.279)
=0.436648 / 0.427313
=1.0218

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-41661.735 - 0 - 57379.959) / 3465704.191
=-0.028578

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

PT Argha Karya Prima Industry Tbk has a M-score of -2.20 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


PT Argha Karya Prima Industry Tbk Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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PT Argha Karya Prima Industry Tbk (ISX:AKPI) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Jl. Jendral Sudirman kav.52-53, Prosperity Tower, Floor 51, SCBD Lot.28, District 8, Jakarta, IDN, 12190
PT Argha Karya Prima Industry Tbk produces packaging film products for industrial use and consumer goods items such as cigarettes, food products, paper lamination, labels, and others. The company operates in segments that include Manufacturing and Distribution. The Manufacturing business segment generates maximum revenue for the company. The company's brand includes Arlene and Areta. PT Argha Karya Prima exports its products to Asia, Africa, Europe, America, the Middle East, Europe, Australia, and New Zealand. The majority of the revenue is generated from Indonesia.

PT Argha Karya Prima Industry Tbk (ISX:AKPI) Headlines

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