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Hudaco Industries (JSE:HDC) Beneish M-Score : -2.43 (As of May. 05, 2024)


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What is Hudaco Industries Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.43 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Hudaco Industries's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

JSE:HDC' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.39   Med: -2.55   Max: -2.03
Current: -2.43

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Hudaco Industries was -2.03. The lowest was -3.39. And the median was -2.55.


Hudaco Industries Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Hudaco Industries's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Hudaco Industries Beneish M-Score Chart

Hudaco Industries Annual Data
Trend Nov14 Nov15 Nov16 Nov17 Nov18 Nov19 Nov20 Nov21 Nov22 Nov23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.66 -3.39 -2.69 -2.41 -2.43

Hudaco Industries Semi-Annual Data
May14 Nov14 May15 Nov15 May16 Nov16 May17 Nov17 May18 Nov18 May19 Nov19 May20 Nov20 May21 Nov21 May22 Nov22 May23 Nov23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.69 - -2.41 - -2.43

Competitive Comparison of Hudaco Industries's Beneish M-Score

For the Industrial Distribution subindustry, Hudaco Industries's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Hudaco Industries's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Industrial Distribution Industry

For the Industrial Distribution industry and Industrials sector, Hudaco Industries's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Hudaco Industries's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Hudaco Industries Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Hudaco Industries for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9726+0.528 * 1.0195+0.404 * 1.0008+0.892 * 1.0914+0.115 * 1.0899
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.004653-0.327 * 1.0247
=-2.43

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Nov23) TTM:Last Year (Nov22) TTM:
Total Receivables was R1,378 Mil.
Revenue was R8,897 Mil.
Gross Profit was R3,203 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R4,428 Mil.
Total Assets was R6,657 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R769 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R174 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R1,574 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R1,511 Mil.
Net Income was R611 Mil.
Gross Profit was R0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was R642 Mil.
Total Receivables was R1,298 Mil.
Revenue was R8,151 Mil.
Gross Profit was R2,992 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R3,949 Mil.
Total Assets was R5,942 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R691 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R174 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R1,607 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R1,081 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1378.014 / 8896.563) / (1298.179 / 8151.403)
=0.154893 / 0.159258
=0.9726

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2991.685 / 8151.403) / (3202.779 / 8896.563)
=0.367015 / 0.360002
=1.0195

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (4427.606 + 768.832) / 6656.502) / (1 - (3948.741 + 691.321) / 5942.427)
=0.219344 / 0.219164
=1.0008

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=8896.563 / 8151.403
=1.0914

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(173.975 / (173.975 + 691.321)) / (173.913 / (173.913 + 768.832))
=0.201058 / 0.184475
=1.0899

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 8896.563) / (0 / 8151.403)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1510.757 + 1574.095) / 6656.502) / ((1080.584 + 1606.937) / 5942.427)
=0.463434 / 0.45226
=1.0247

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(610.808 - 0 - 641.782) / 6656.502
=-0.004653

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Hudaco Industries has a M-score of -2.43 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Hudaco Industries Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Hudaco Industries (JSE:HDC) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Emerald Boulevard, Greenstone Hill, Building 9, 1st Floor, Greenstone Hill Office Park, Edenvale, GT, ZAF, 1609
Hudaco Industries Ltd is engaged in importing and distributing branded automotive, industrial and electrical consumable products. The company operates in two business segment such as Consumer-related product segment which includes power tools, security equipment, communication equipment, automotive and batteries, and Engineering consumables segment which consist of bearings, diesel engines and spares, and power transmission. It generates maximum revenue from Consumer-related product segment. Geographically, it derives a majority of revenue from South Africa.

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