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Northam Platinum Holdings (JSE:NPH) Beneish M-Score : -3.16 (As of May. 09, 2024)


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What is Northam Platinum Holdings Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.16 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Northam Platinum Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

JSE:NPH' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.16   Med: -0.29   Max: 2.59
Current: -3.16

During the past 4 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Northam Platinum Holdings was 2.59. The lowest was -3.16. And the median was -0.29.


Northam Platinum Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Northam Platinum Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Northam Platinum Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Northam Platinum Holdings Annual Data
Trend Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Beneish M-Score
- - 2.59 -3.16

Northam Platinum Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 2.59 - -3.16 -

Competitive Comparison of Northam Platinum Holdings's Beneish M-Score

For the Other Precious Metals & Mining subindustry, Northam Platinum Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Northam Platinum Holdings's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Northam Platinum Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Northam Platinum Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Northam Platinum Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Northam Platinum Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0415+0.528 * 1.1188+0.404 * 0.7289+0.892 * 1.161+0.115 * 0.8686
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.6739+4.679 * -0.189763-0.327 * 0.9143
=-3.16

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun23) TTM:Last Year (Jun22) TTM:
Total Receivables was R1,586 Mil.
Revenue was R39,548 Mil.
Gross Profit was R15,447 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R13,844 Mil.
Total Assets was R60,275 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R31,273 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R1,147 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R1 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R10,541 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R10,667 Mil.
Net Income was R2,554 Mil.
Gross Profit was R0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was R13,992 Mil.
Total Receivables was R1,311 Mil.
Revenue was R34,064 Mil.
Gross Profit was R14,885 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R8,154 Mil.
Total Assets was R57,351 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R29,412 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R933 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R2 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R11,678 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R10,392 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1585.637 / 39548.159) / (1311.309 / 34064.27)
=0.040094 / 0.038495
=1.0415

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(14885.101 / 34064.27) / (15446.786 / 39548.159)
=0.436971 / 0.390582
=1.1188

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (13843.827 + 31273.18) / 60275.062) / (1 - (8153.531 + 29411.877) / 57351.141)
=0.251481 / 0.344993
=0.7289

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=39548.159 / 34064.27
=1.161

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(932.597 / (932.597 + 29411.877)) / (1147.094 / (1147.094 + 31273.18))
=0.030734 / 0.035382
=0.8686

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1.209 / 39548.159) / (1.57 / 34064.27)
=3.1E-5 / 4.6E-5
=0.6739

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((10666.806 + 10540.838) / 60275.062) / ((10391.904 + 11678.404) / 57351.141)
=0.351848 / 0.384828
=0.9143

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(2554.043 - 0 - 13992.012) / 60275.062
=-0.189763

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Northam Platinum Holdings has a M-score of -3.16 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Northam Platinum Holdings Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Northam Platinum Holdings (JSE:NPH) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Magwa Crescent West, Building 4, 1st Floor, Maxwell Office Park, Jukskei View, Waterfall City, GT, ZAF, 2090
Northam Platinum Holdings Ltd is an integrated producer of platinum group metals. Its primary products are the three PGMs, platinum, palladium, and rhodium. The primary consumers of these metals are the motor manufacturing industry, the jewelry industry, and other industrial sectors. Its segments include Northam Holdings, Zondereinde mine, Booysendal mine, Eland mine, and the US recycling operations.

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