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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
The historical rank and industry rank for KapStone Paper And Packaging's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:
During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of KapStone Paper And Packaging was 0.00. The lowest was 0.00. And the median was 0.00.
The historical data trend for KapStone Paper And Packaging's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
KapStone Paper And Packaging Annual Data | |||||||||||||||||||||
Trend | Dec08 | Dec09 | Dec10 | Dec11 | Dec12 | Dec13 | Dec14 | Dec15 | Dec16 | Dec17 | |||||||||||
Beneish M-Score | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | -2.04 | -2.65 | -2.39 | -2.68 | -2.50 |
KapStone Paper And Packaging Quarterly Data | ||||||||||||||||||||
Dec13 | Mar14 | Jun14 | Sep14 | Dec14 | Mar15 | Jun15 | Sep15 | Dec15 | Mar16 | Jun16 | Sep16 | Dec16 | Mar17 | Jun17 | Sep17 | Dec17 | Mar18 | Jun18 | Sep18 | |
Beneish M-Score | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | -2.55 | -2.50 | -2.49 | -2.42 | -2.47 |
For the Paper & Paper Products subindustry, KapStone Paper And Packaging's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
For the Forest Products industry and Basic Materials sector, KapStone Paper And Packaging's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where KapStone Paper And Packaging's Beneish M-Score falls into.
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of KapStone Paper And Packaging for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
M | = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * DSRI | + | 0.528 * GMI | + | 0.404 * AQI | + | 0.892 * SGI | + | 0.115 * DEPI |
= | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * 0.9741 | + | 0.528 * 0.8711 | + | 0.404 * 0.9712 | + | 0.892 * 1.071 | + | 0.115 * 0.9848 | |
- | 0.172 * SGAI | + | 4.679 * TATA | - | 0.327 * LVGI | |||||||
- | 0.172 * 0.9693 | + | 4.679 * 0.004726 | - | 0.327 * 0.9095 | |||||||
= | -2.46 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
This Year (Sep18) TTM: | Last Year (Sep17) TTM: |
Total Receivables was $505 Mil. Revenue was 893.595 + 912.736 + 799.195 + 858.682 = $3,464 Mil. Gross Profit was 300.364 + 277.295 + 244.374 + 273.454 = $1,095 Mil. Total Current Assets was $894 Mil. Total Assets was $3,374 Mil. Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,457 Mil. Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $187 Mil. Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $573 Mil. Total Current Liabilities was $393 Mil. Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,314 Mil. Net Income was 72.511 + 53.183 + 32.741 + 187.709 = $346 Mil. Non Operating Income was -0.776 + 0.459 + -2.43 + -5.496 = $-8 Mil. Cash Flow from Operations was 155.881 + 27.892 + 5.123 + 149.549 = $338 Mil. |
Total Receivables was $484 Mil. Revenue was 868.418 + 822.717 + 765.843 + 777.495 = $3,234 Mil. Gross Profit was 245.454 + 228.639 + 203.382 + 213.542 = $891 Mil. Total Current Assets was $844 Mil. Total Assets was $3,367 Mil. Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,472 Mil. Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $186 Mil. Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $552 Mil. Total Current Liabilities was $407 Mil. Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,466 Mil. |
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
DSRI | = | (Receivables_t / Revenue_t) | / | (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) |
= | (505.225 / 3464.208) | / | (484.255 / 3234.473) | |
= | 0.145841 | / | 0.149717 | |
= | 0.9741 |
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
GMI | = | GrossMargin_t-1 | / | GrossMargin_t |
= | (GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) | / | (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t) | |
= | (891.017 / 3234.473) | / | (1095.487 / 3464.208) | |
= | 0.275475 | / | 0.31623 | |
= | 0.8711 |
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.
AQI | = | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
= | (1 - (894.265 + 1456.648) / 3373.527) | / | (1 - (843.965 + 1472.369) / 3367.277) | |
= | 0.303129 | / | 0.312105 | |
= | 0.9712 |
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
SGI | = | Sales_t | / | Sales_t-1 |
= | Revenue_t | / | Revenue_t-1 | |
= | 3464.208 | / | 3234.473 | |
= | 1.071 |
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
DEPI | = | (Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) | / | (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t)) |
= | (185.549 / (185.549 + 1472.369)) | / | (186.76 / (186.76 + 1456.648)) | |
= | 0.111917 | / | 0.113642 | |
= | 0.9848 |
Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
SGAI | = | (SGA_t / Sales_t) | / | (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1) |
= | (572.59 / 3464.208) | / | (551.568 / 3234.473) | |
= | 0.165287 | / | 0.170528 | |
= | 0.9693 |
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage
LVGI | = | ((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
= | ((1314.056 + 392.818) / 3373.527) | / | ((1466.198 + 407.086) / 3367.277) | |
= | 0.505961 | / | 0.55632 | |
= | 0.9095 |
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
TATA | = | (IncomefromContinuingOperations_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
= | (NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t | |
= | (346.144 - -8.243 | - | 338.445) | / | 3373.527 | |
= | 0.004726 |
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
KapStone Paper And Packaging has a M-score of -2.46 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of KapStone Paper And Packaging's Beneish M-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Paula H Cholmondeley | director | 221 W PHILADELPHIA ST, SUITE 60W, YORK PA 17401-2991 |
Matthew H Paull | director | MCDONALDS CORP, 2915 JORIE BLVD, OAK BROOK IL 60523 |
Roger W Stone | director, officer: Executive Chairman | KAPSTONE PAPER & PKG. CORP., 1101 SKOKIE BOULEVARD, STE 300, NORTHBROOK IL 60062-6141 |
Robert J Bahash | director | 1221 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10020 |
David P Storch | director | C/O AAR CORP, 1111 NICHOLAS BLVD, 1111 NICHOLAS BLVD IL 60007 |
Kathryn D. Ingraham | officer: VP, Secy & Gen Counsel | KAPSTONE PAPER AND PACKAGING CORPORATION, 1101 SKOKIE BLVD., STE. 300, NORTHBROOK IL 60062 |
Brian R Gamache | director | |
Randy J. Nebel | officer: Exec. VP. Integrated Packaging | KAPSTONE PAPER AND PACKAGING CORP. 1101 SKOKIE BLVD., SUITE 300 NORTHBROOK IL 60062 |
Andrea K Tarbox | officer: Exec. VP and CFO | ONE NORTHFIELD PLAZA, STE. 480, NORTHFIELD IL 60093 |
Maurice S Reznik | director | C/O MAIDENFORM BRANDS, INC., 154 AVENUE E, BAYONNE NJ 07002 |
Jonathan R Furer | director | 45 PARK STREET, TENAFLY NJ 07670 |
S Jay Stewart | director | 100 NORTH RIVERSIDE PLAZA, CHICAGO IL 60606 |
Harvey Hanerfeld | 10 percent owner | 1919 PENNSYLVANIA AVENUE NW, SUITE 725, WASHINGTON DC 20006 |
Ned L Sherwood | 10 percent owner | 54 MORRIS LN, SCARSDALE NY 10583 |
Jonathan M Glaser | 10 percent owner | 11601 WILSHIRE BLVD., SUITE 2180, LOS ANGELES CA 90025 |
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