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Air Astana JSC (LSE:AIRA) Beneish M-Score : -3.08 (As of May. 26, 2024)


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What is Air Astana JSC Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.08 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Air Astana JSC's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

LSE:AIRA' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.08   Med: -2.98   Max: -2.88
Current: -3.08

During the past 4 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Air Astana JSC was -2.88. The lowest was -3.08. And the median was -2.98.


Air Astana JSC Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Air Astana JSC's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Air Astana JSC Beneish M-Score Chart

Air Astana JSC Annual Data
Trend Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
- - -2.88 -3.08

Air Astana JSC Quarterly Data
Dec20 Dec21 Sep22 Dec22 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - -2.88 - -3.08

Competitive Comparison of Air Astana JSC's Beneish M-Score

For the Airlines subindustry, Air Astana JSC's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Air Astana JSC's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Air Astana JSC's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Air Astana JSC's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Air Astana JSC Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Air Astana JSC for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.006+0.528 * 1.0179+0.404 * 1.286+0.892 * 1.143+0.115 * 0.8892
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0803+4.679 * -0.179643-0.327 * 0.9383
=-3.07

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $23.5 Mil.
Revenue was $1,166.1 Mil.
Gross Profit was $507.3 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $416.2 Mil.
Total Assets was $1,362.4 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $853.3 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $162.0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $63.7 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $455.9 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $543.9 Mil.
Net Income was $68.7 Mil.
Gross Profit was $0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was $313.5 Mil.
Total Receivables was $20.5 Mil.
Revenue was $1,020.2 Mil.
Gross Profit was $451.8 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $366.9 Mil.
Total Assets was $1,250.9 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $817.6 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $135.2 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $51.6 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $400.0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $578.4 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(23.525 / 1166.115) / (20.459 / 1020.244)
=0.020174 / 0.020053
=1.006

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(451.789 / 1020.244) / (507.305 / 1166.115)
=0.442824 / 0.435039
=1.0179

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (416.152 + 853.32) / 1362.444) / (1 - (366.913 + 817.585) / 1250.875)
=0.068239 / 0.053064
=1.286

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1166.115 / 1020.244
=1.143

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(135.178 / (135.178 + 817.585)) / (162.011 / (162.011 + 853.32))
=0.14188 / 0.159565
=0.8892

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(63.679 / 1166.115) / (51.572 / 1020.244)
=0.054608 / 0.050549
=1.0803

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((543.896 + 455.948) / 1362.444) / ((578.373 + 400.008) / 1250.875)
=0.733861 / 0.782157
=0.9383

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(68.705 - 0 - 313.458) / 1362.444
=-0.179643

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Air Astana JSC has a M-score of -3.07 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Air Astana JSC Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Air Astana JSC (LSE:AIRA) Business Description

Comparable Companies
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
4A Zakarpatskaya Street, Turksib District, Almaty, KAZ, 010000
Air Astana JSC is an airline company. It provides scheduled, point-to-point and transit, short-haul and long-haul air travel and cargo on domestic, intra-regional, and international routes across Central Asia, the Caucasus, Europe (including Turkey), the Middle East and Asia (including India and China) and has a fleet of 47 aircraft. The company group has two operating segments, Air Astana and FlyArystan. Air Astana's activities consist of mainly domestic and international passenger and cargo air transportation as a full-service brand. Fly Arystan activities consist of mainly domestic and international passenger and cargo air transportation as a low-cost brand. Maximum revenue is generated from the Air Astana segment.

Air Astana JSC (LSE:AIRA) Headlines

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