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Gulf Keystone Petroleum (LSE:GKP) Beneish M-Score : 10.48 (As of May. 05, 2024)


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What is Gulf Keystone Petroleum Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score 10.48 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Gulf Keystone Petroleum's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

LSE:GKP' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.73   Med: -2   Max: 15.13
Current: 10.48

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Gulf Keystone Petroleum was 15.13. The lowest was -2.73. And the median was -2.00.


Gulf Keystone Petroleum Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Gulf Keystone Petroleum's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Gulf Keystone Petroleum Beneish M-Score Chart

Gulf Keystone Petroleum Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.62 15.13 -1.21 -2.64 10.48

Gulf Keystone Petroleum Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.21 - -2.64 - 10.48

Competitive Comparison of Gulf Keystone Petroleum's Beneish M-Score

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, Gulf Keystone Petroleum's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Gulf Keystone Petroleum's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Gulf Keystone Petroleum's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Gulf Keystone Petroleum's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Gulf Keystone Petroleum Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Gulf Keystone Petroleum for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.3196+0.528 * 9.8245+0.404 * 26.2377+0.892 * 0.2583+0.115 * 1.83
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 2.7359+4.679 * -0.090114-0.327 * 0.9493
=10.48

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was £11.94 Mil.
Revenue was £97.58 Mil.
Gross Profit was £6.47 Mil.
Total Current Assets was £84.32 Mil.
Total Assets was £550.75 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was £352.22 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was £33.23 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was £6.17 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was £90.50 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was £0.03 Mil.
Net Income was £-9.09 Mil.
Gross Profit was £0.00 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was £40.55 Mil.
Total Receivables was £144.66 Mil.
Revenue was £377.75 Mil.
Gross Profit was £245.89 Mil.
Total Current Assets was £247.97 Mil.
Total Assets was £611.12 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was £358.32 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was £67.11 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was £8.74 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was £105.55 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was £0.27 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(11.943 / 97.576) / (144.663 / 377.753)
=0.122397 / 0.382957
=0.3196

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(245.891 / 377.753) / (6.465 / 97.576)
=0.650931 / 0.066256
=9.8245

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (84.315 + 352.215) / 550.745) / (1 - (247.967 + 358.32) / 611.117)
=0.207383 / 0.007904
=26.2377

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=97.576 / 377.753
=0.2583

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(67.11 / (67.11 + 358.32)) / (33.225 / (33.225 + 352.215))
=0.157746 / 0.0862
=1.83

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(6.173 / 97.576) / (8.735 / 377.753)
=0.063264 / 0.023124
=2.7359

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((0.031 + 90.501) / 550.745) / ((0.267 + 105.549) / 611.117)
=0.164381 / 0.173152
=0.9493

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-9.085 - 0 - 40.545) / 550.745
=-0.090114

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Gulf Keystone Petroleum has a M-score of 10.48 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Gulf Keystone Petroleum Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Gulf Keystone Petroleum (LSE:GKP) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
C/o Coson Corporate Services Limited, 41 Cedar Avenue, Cedar House, 3rd Floor, Hamilton, BMU, HM12
Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd is a holding company, which is engaged in oil and gas exploration and production. It mainly operates in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq, the Republic of Algeria, and Others. The Kurdistan Region of Iraq segment consists of the Shaikan, Ber Bahr blocks, and the Erbil office, which provides support to the operations in Kurdistan. It generates its revenues from the sale of oil.

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