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Hilton Food Group (LSE:HFG) Beneish M-Score : -2.95 (As of Jun. 05, 2024)


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What is Hilton Food Group Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.95 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Hilton Food Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

LSE:HFG' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.16   Med: -2.53   Max: -1.33
Current: -2.95

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Hilton Food Group was -1.33. The lowest was -3.16. And the median was -2.53.


Hilton Food Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Hilton Food Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Hilton Food Group Beneish M-Score Chart

Hilton Food Group Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.65 -2.53 -2.27 -2.42 -2.95

Hilton Food Group Semi-Annual Data
Dec13 Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jul16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.27 - -2.42 - -2.95

Competitive Comparison of Hilton Food Group's Beneish M-Score

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Hilton Food Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Hilton Food Group's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Hilton Food Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Hilton Food Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Hilton Food Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Hilton Food Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0134+0.528 * 0.9222+0.404 * 1.0202+0.892 * 1.0369+0.115 * 0.9611
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0337+4.679 * -0.101264-0.327 * 0.9829
=-2.95

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was £265 Mil.
Revenue was £3,990 Mil.
Gross Profit was £430 Mil.
Total Current Assets was £588 Mil.
Total Assets was £1,289 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was £518 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was £77 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was £341 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was £504 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was £449 Mil.
Net Income was £36 Mil.
Gross Profit was £0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was £167 Mil.
Total Receivables was £252 Mil.
Revenue was £3,848 Mil.
Gross Profit was £383 Mil.
Total Current Assets was £571 Mil.
Total Assets was £1,296 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was £544 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was £78 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was £318 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was £474 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was £501 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(264.761 / 3989.547) / (251.966 / 3847.6)
=0.066364 / 0.065487
=1.0134

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(382.763 / 3847.6) / (430.362 / 3989.547)
=0.099481 / 0.107872
=0.9222

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (587.835 + 518.218) / 1289.25) / (1 - (571.108 + 544.189) / 1295.786)
=0.142096 / 0.139289
=1.0202

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=3989.547 / 3847.6
=1.0369

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(77.739 / (77.739 + 544.189)) / (77.474 / (77.474 + 518.218))
=0.124997 / 0.130057
=0.9611

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(340.943 / 3989.547) / (318.076 / 3847.6)
=0.085459 / 0.082669
=1.0337

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((449.377 + 503.652) / 1289.25) / ((500.662 + 473.886) / 1295.786)
=0.739212 / 0.75209
=0.9829

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(36.38 - 0 - 166.934) / 1289.25
=-0.101264

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Hilton Food Group has a M-score of -2.95 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Hilton Food Group Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Hilton Food Group (LSE:HFG) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Latham Road, 2-8 The Interchange, Huntingdon, Cambridgeshire, GBR, PE29 6YE
Hilton Food Group PLC is engaged in the specialist retail meat-packing business supplying international food retailers in Europe, Australia, and New Zealand. It is into wholesaling of food protein products including meat, seafood, and vegetarian. The company has three operating segments, namely Europe (which consists of The United Kingdom, Netherlands, Belgium, the Republic of Ireland, Sweden, Denmark, Central Europe including Poland, the Czech Republic, Hungary, Slovakia, Latvia, Lithuania, and Estonia, and Portugal), APAC, and Central costs. The company derives a majority of its revenue from the European Countries.

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