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Orange Polska (LSE:OPLD) Beneish M-Score : -2.90 (As of May. 21, 2024)


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What is Orange Polska Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.9 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Orange Polska's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

LSE:OPLD' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.28   Med: -2.85   Max: -2.62
Current: -2.9

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Orange Polska was -2.62. The lowest was -3.28. And the median was -2.85.


Orange Polska Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Orange Polska's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Orange Polska Beneish M-Score Chart

Orange Polska Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.12 -3.18 -2.64 -2.70 -2.90

Orange Polska Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - -2.90 -

Competitive Comparison of Orange Polska's Beneish M-Score

For the Telecom Services subindustry, Orange Polska's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Orange Polska's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Telecommunication Services Industry

For the Telecommunication Services industry and Communication Services sector, Orange Polska's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Orange Polska's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Orange Polska Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Orange Polska for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9786+0.528 * 1.0085+0.404 * 1.0168+0.892 * 1.0386+0.115 * 1.0231
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.098226-0.327 * 0.9589
=-2.90

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $523 Mil.
Revenue was $3,309 Mil.
Gross Profit was $1,328 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,038 Mil.
Total Assets was $6,845 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $3,252 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $644 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,586 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,276 Mil.
Net Income was $209 Mil.
Gross Profit was $0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was $881 Mil.
Total Receivables was $514 Mil.
Revenue was $3,186 Mil.
Gross Profit was $1,289 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,150 Mil.
Total Assets was $6,829 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $3,173 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $646 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,338 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,639 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(522.549 / 3309.305) / (514.129 / 3186.322)
=0.157903 / 0.161355
=0.9786

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1289.277 / 3186.322) / (1327.804 / 3309.305)
=0.404629 / 0.401233
=1.0085

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1038.463 + 3251.641) / 6844.673) / (1 - (1149.964 + 3172.544) / 6829.364)
=0.37322 / 0.36707
=1.0168

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=3309.305 / 3186.322
=1.0386

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(646.042 / (646.042 + 3172.544)) / (644.256 / (644.256 + 3251.641))
=0.169184 / 0.165368
=1.0231

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 3309.305) / (0 / 3186.322)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1275.754 + 1586.017) / 6844.673) / ((1639.343 + 1338.266) / 6829.364)
=0.418102 / 0.436001
=0.9589

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(208.713 - 0 - 881.035) / 6844.673
=-0.098226

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Orange Polska has a M-score of -2.90 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Orange Polska Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Orange Polska (LSE:OPLD) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
160 Aleje Jerozolimskie Street, Warsaw, POL, 02-326
Orange Polska SA is a Poland-based telecommunications company. The company offers a portfolio of telecommunication products and services for residential, business and wholesale customers. The company combines fixed-line and mobile services, offering consistent connectivity based on different technologies. It derives revenue from the provision of Internet, mobile, and television services. The company operates through various divisions which include Mobile only services, Fixed only services, Convergent services (consumer market), Equipment sales, IT and integration services, Wholesale and Other revenue. The majority of the company's revenue is earned through Mobile only services.

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