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UTair Aviation JSC (MIC:UTAR) Beneish M-Score : -3.72 (As of May. 05, 2024)


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What is UTair Aviation JSC Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.72 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for UTair Aviation JSC's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MIC:UTAR' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -6.53   Med: -3.31   Max: 3.07
Current: -3.72

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of UTair Aviation JSC was 3.07. The lowest was -6.53. And the median was -3.31.


UTair Aviation JSC Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for UTair Aviation JSC's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

UTair Aviation JSC Beneish M-Score Chart

UTair Aviation JSC Annual Data
Trend Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.80 -2.21 -3.78 -4.13 -3.72

UTair Aviation JSC Semi-Annual Data
Dec12 Jun13 Dec13 Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -3.72 - - -

Competitive Comparison of UTair Aviation JSC's Beneish M-Score

For the Airlines subindustry, UTair Aviation JSC's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


UTair Aviation JSC's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, UTair Aviation JSC's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where UTair Aviation JSC's Beneish M-Score falls into.



UTair Aviation JSC Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of UTair Aviation JSC for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.7718+0.528 * 1.0191+0.404 * 1.2423+0.892 * 0.6748+0.115 * 1.2626
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.4298+4.679 * -0.182444-0.327 * 0.858
=-3.72

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec20) TTM:Last Year (Dec19) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₽4,033 Mil.
Revenue was ₽58,254 Mil.
Gross Profit was ₽10,829 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₽22,756 Mil.
Total Assets was ₽86,106 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₽61,595 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₽8,384 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₽4,699 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₽74,290 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₽29,845 Mil.
Net Income was ₽3,349 Mil.
Gross Profit was ₽0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was ₽19,058 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₽7,744 Mil.
Revenue was ₽86,323 Mil.
Gross Profit was ₽16,353 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₽17,159 Mil.
Total Assets was ₽76,763 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₽58,344 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₽10,399 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₽4,870 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₽92,457 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₽15,739 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(4033.498 / 58254.155) / (7743.953 / 86322.549)
=0.06924 / 0.08971
=0.7718

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(16353.293 / 86322.549) / (10829.039 / 58254.155)
=0.189444 / 0.185893
=1.0191

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (22756.284 + 61595.071) / 86106.365) / (1 - (17159.057 + 58344.167) / 76762.662)
=0.020382 / 0.016407
=1.2423

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=58254.155 / 86322.549
=0.6748

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(10399.391 / (10399.391 + 58344.167)) / (8384.253 / (8384.253 + 61595.071))
=0.151278 / 0.11981
=1.2626

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(4699.374 / 58254.155) / (4870.464 / 86322.549)
=0.08067 / 0.056422
=1.4298

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((29844.929 + 74290.25) / 86106.365) / ((15739.42 + 92457.455) / 76762.662)
=1.209378 / 1.409499
=0.858

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(3348.813 - 0 - 19058.411) / 86106.365
=-0.182444

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

UTair Aviation JSC has a M-score of -3.72 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


UTair Aviation JSC Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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UTair Aviation JSC (MIC:UTAR) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Khanty-Mansiysk, Airport, Tyumenoblast, RUS, 628012
UTair Aviation JSC is engaged in the business of passenger and cargo transportation using airplane and helicopter services. It serves primarily Russian oil and gas companies and the United Nations Organisation (UN) outside Russia and offers services such as air transportation, catering, airport services, aircraft repairs, and aeronautical personnel training. UTair operates more than 400 aircraft and its operation is performed in Russia, CIS, and non-CIS countries.

UTair Aviation JSC (MIC:UTAR) Headlines

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