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Comtrend (ROCO:8089) Beneish M-Score : 16.54 (As of May. 16, 2024)


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What is Comtrend Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score 16.54 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Comtrend's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ROCO:8089' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.23   Med: -2.07   Max: 16.54
Current: 16.54

During the past 10 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Comtrend was 16.54. The lowest was -3.23. And the median was -2.07.


Comtrend Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Comtrend's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Comtrend Beneish M-Score Chart

Comtrend Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -3.21 0.13 -2.53 -2.78

Comtrend Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.11 -2.03 -2.24 -2.78 16.54

Competitive Comparison of Comtrend's Beneish M-Score

For the Communication Equipment subindustry, Comtrend's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Comtrend's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Comtrend's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Comtrend's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Comtrend Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Comtrend for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 20.444+0.528 * 0.9411+0.404 * 5.4709+0.892 * 0.7781+0.115 * 1.6702
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.2434+4.679 * -0.045715-0.327 * 1.8028
=16.54

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was NT$2,463 Mil.
Revenue was 1724.632 + 173.104 + 279.47 + 240.289 = NT$2,417 Mil.
Gross Profit was 940.02 + 37.182 + 90.376 + 27.921 = NT$1,095 Mil.
Total Current Assets was NT$16,826 Mil.
Total Assets was NT$21,418 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was NT$400 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was NT$42 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was NT$833 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was NT$10,961 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was NT$12 Mil.
Net Income was 256.072 + -111.783 + -37.476 + -89.672 = NT$17 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = NT$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 959.741 + -148.351 + -88.869 + 273.717 = NT$996 Mil.
Total Receivables was NT$155 Mil.
Revenue was 1659.573 + 484.09 + 552.303 + 410.782 = NT$3,107 Mil.
Gross Profit was 890.616 + 151.996 + 166.033 + 116.23 = NT$1,325 Mil.
Total Current Assets was NT$1,257 Mil.
Total Assets was NT$1,624 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was NT$309 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was NT$59 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was NT$861 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was NT$251 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was NT$210 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(2462.712 / 2417.495) / (154.807 / 3106.748)
=1.018704 / 0.049829
=20.444

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1324.875 / 3106.748) / (1095.499 / 2417.495)
=0.426451 / 0.453155
=0.9411

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (16826.043 + 399.799) / 21417.511) / (1 - (1257.41 + 308.839) / 1624.357)
=0.195712 / 0.035773
=5.4709

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2417.495 / 3106.748
=0.7781

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(58.95 / (58.95 + 308.839)) / (42.441 / (42.441 + 399.799))
=0.160282 / 0.095968
=1.6702

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(832.883 / 2417.495) / (860.828 / 3106.748)
=0.344523 / 0.277083
=1.2434

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((12.194 + 10960.9) / 21417.511) / ((210.302 + 251.328) / 1624.357)
=0.512342 / 0.284192
=1.8028

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(17.141 - 0 - 996.238) / 21417.511
=-0.045715

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Comtrend has a M-score of 16.54 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Comtrend Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Comtrend (ROCO:8089) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
10 Lane 609, Chung Hsin Road, 3rd Floor-1, Section 5, Sanchong District, New Taipei City, TWN, 241405
Comtrend Corp is a Taiwan-based designer and manufacturer of broadband communication equipment. The company manufactures and sells multiplexers, high-speed network access devices, digital user loop devices, access routers, converters, splitters, and other products.

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