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Siam City Cement PCL (SGX:TSCD) Beneish M-Score : -2.97 (As of May. 16, 2024)


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What is Siam City Cement PCL Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.97 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Siam City Cement PCL's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SGX:TSCD' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.01   Med: -2.57   Max: -2.01
Current: -2.97

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Siam City Cement PCL was -2.01. The lowest was -3.01. And the median was -2.57.


Siam City Cement PCL Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Siam City Cement PCL's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Siam City Cement PCL Beneish M-Score Chart

Siam City Cement PCL Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.70 -2.97 -2.64 -2.46 -2.75

Siam City Cement PCL Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.35 -2.34 -2.54 -2.75 -2.97

Competitive Comparison of Siam City Cement PCL's Beneish M-Score

For the Building Materials subindustry, Siam City Cement PCL's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Siam City Cement PCL's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Building Materials Industry

For the Building Materials industry and Basic Materials sector, Siam City Cement PCL's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Siam City Cement PCL's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Siam City Cement PCL Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Siam City Cement PCL for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0626+0.528 * 0.8975+0.404 * 1.005+0.892 * 0.817+0.115 * 1.0205
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9592+4.679 * -0.086361-0.327 * 0.948
=-3.02

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was S$183 Mil.
Revenue was 374.217 + 366.632 + 390.008 + 423.19 = S$1,554 Mil.
Gross Profit was 107.942 + 111.324 + 100.054 + 102.553 = S$422 Mil.
Total Current Assets was S$641 Mil.
Total Assets was S$2,747 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was S$998 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was S$129 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was S$285 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was S$717 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was S$543 Mil.
Net Income was 43.301 + 31.509 + 16.752 + 25.288 = S$117 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 15.463 + 1.311 + -0.619 + 23.601 = S$40 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 93.67 + 145.378 + 88.45 + -13.194 = S$314 Mil.
Total Receivables was S$210 Mil.
Revenue was 441.584 + 483.434 + 471.576 + 505.641 = S$1,902 Mil.
Gross Profit was 96.369 + 94.584 + 108.753 + 163.779 = S$463 Mil.
Total Current Assets was S$627 Mil.
Total Assets was S$2,849 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was S$1,079 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was S$142 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was S$363 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was S$642 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was S$736 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(182.631 / 1554.047) / (210.375 / 1902.235)
=0.11752 / 0.110594
=1.0626

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(463.485 / 1902.235) / (421.873 / 1554.047)
=0.243653 / 0.271467
=0.8975

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (640.522 + 998.193) / 2746.716) / (1 - (627.106 + 1078.551) / 2849.396)
=0.403391 / 0.401397
=1.005

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1554.047 / 1902.235
=0.817

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(142.26 / (142.26 + 1078.551)) / (128.679 / (128.679 + 998.193))
=0.116529 / 0.114191
=1.0205

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(284.723 / 1554.047) / (363.34 / 1902.235)
=0.183214 / 0.191007
=0.9592

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((542.773 + 716.999) / 2746.716) / ((736.425 + 642.123) / 2849.396)
=0.458647 / 0.483804
=0.948

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(116.85 - 39.756 - 314.304) / 2746.716
=-0.086361

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Siam City Cement PCL has a M-score of -3.02 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Siam City Cement PCL Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Siam City Cement PCL (SGX:TSCD) Business Description

Comparable Companies
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Ratchadapisek Road, 199, 3rd, 10th - 12th Floor, Column Tower, Klongtoey, Bangkok, THA, 10110
Siam City Cement PCL is a Thailand-based company that produces cement-based building materials, wood replacement products, and lightweight concrete blocks through its subsidiaries. The company is composed of five segments: Cement, Concrete & Aggregates, Light Building Materials, Trading, and Other. Cement is the company's largest and most profitable segment, accounting for more than half of its revenue. It sells various cement types, namely Portland, Hydraulic, Mixed, and Masonry, that serve various building, bricklaying, and plastering purposes. The Trading segment, established in 2017, exports cement products and imports mineral components and solid fuel. The company's largest customers by total revenue are located in Thailand.

Siam City Cement PCL (SGX:TSCD) Headlines

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