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OCI NV (STU:OIC) Beneish M-Score : -3.44 (As of May. 04, 2024)


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What is OCI NV Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.44 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for OCI NV's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

STU:OIC' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.44   Med: -2.91   Max: -2.47
Current: -3.44

During the past 12 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of OCI NV was -2.47. The lowest was -3.44. And the median was -2.91.


OCI NV Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for OCI NV's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

OCI NV Beneish M-Score Chart

OCI NV Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.47 -2.93 -2.88 -3.01 -3.44

OCI NV Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.01 -3.43 -3.13 -1.57 -3.44

Competitive Comparison of OCI NV's Beneish M-Score

For the Specialty Chemicals subindustry, OCI NV's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


OCI NV's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, OCI NV's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where OCI NV's Beneish M-Score falls into.



OCI NV Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of OCI NV for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8562+0.528 * 2.6328+0.404 * 0.4669+0.892 * 0.5056+0.115 * 0.2434
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 2.1064+4.679 * -0.122564-0.327 * 1.5489
=-3.44

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was €335 Mil.
Revenue was 453.456 + 1001.559 + 1266.448 + 1280.794 = €4,002 Mil.
Gross Profit was -29.161 + 162.944 + 184.139 + 184.372 = €502 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €6,523 Mil.
Total Assets was €8,230 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €1,245 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €184 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €292 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €4,362 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €1,923 Mil.
Net Income was -102.704 + -110.472 + -83.439 + -66.968 = €-364 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = €0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 87.665 + 55.752 + 242.749 + 258.905 = €645 Mil.
Total Receivables was €774 Mil.
Revenue was 745.194 + 2353.704 + 2703.384 + 2113.642 = €7,916 Mil.
Gross Profit was -154.722 + 880.013 + 1106.252 + 784.058 = €2,616 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €2,798 Mil.
Total Assets was €9,224 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €5,316 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €172 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €274 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €1,905 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €2,643 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(335.163 / 4002.257) / (774.269 / 7915.924)
=0.083743 / 0.097812
=0.8562

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2615.601 / 7915.924) / (502.294 / 4002.257)
=0.330423 / 0.125503
=2.6328

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (6522.529 + 1244.827) / 8229.616) / (1 - (2798.205 + 5315.947) / 9223.918)
=0.05617 / 0.120314
=0.4669

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=4002.257 / 7915.924
=0.5056

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(172.395 / (172.395 + 5315.947)) / (184.477 / (184.477 + 1244.827))
=0.031411 / 0.129068
=0.2434

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(292.055 / 4002.257) / (274.234 / 7915.924)
=0.072973 / 0.034643
=2.1064

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1923.316 + 4362.261) / 8229.616) / ((2643.011 + 1905.275) / 9223.918)
=0.763775 / 0.493097
=1.5489

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-363.583 - 0 - 645.071) / 8229.616
=-0.122564

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

OCI NV has a M-score of -3.44 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


OCI NV (STU:OIC) Business Description

Address
Honthorststraat 19, Amsterdam, NH, NLD, 1071
OCI NV manufactures and sells a variety of fertilizers and natural gas-based chemicals. The firm organizes itself into five reportable segments based on product type and location. The methanol U.S. segment distributes methanol and ammonia primarily to industrial customers around the U.S. Gulf Coast. Methanol Europe produces and distributes regular and bio-methanol. Other segments include nitrogen U.S., nitrogen Europe, and fertiglobe, which is a nitrogen fertilizer platform serving the Middle East and North Africa. Majority revenue is generated from the Fertiglobe segment. The company generates majority of its revenue from Europe and the Americas.

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