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Tosoh (TOSCF) Beneish M-Score : -2.67 (As of May. 16, 2024)


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What is Tosoh Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.67 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Tosoh's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TOSCF' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.01   Med: -2.5   Max: -1.91
Current: -2.67

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Tosoh was -1.91. The lowest was -3.01. And the median was -2.50.


Tosoh Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Tosoh's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Tosoh Beneish M-Score Chart

Tosoh Annual Data
Trend Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.80 -2.54 -2.36 -1.91 -2.67

Tosoh Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.91 - - - -2.67

Competitive Comparison of Tosoh's Beneish M-Score

For the Chemicals subindustry, Tosoh's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Tosoh's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, Tosoh's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Tosoh's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Tosoh Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Tosoh for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0683+0.528 * 0.9154+0.404 * 1.1173+0.892 * 0.8429+0.115 * 1.0229
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.046242-0.327 * 0.9923
=-2.77

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was $1,968 Mil.
Revenue was $6,712 Mil.
Gross Profit was $1,510 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $5,040 Mil.
Total Assets was $8,610 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $2,533 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $297 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $2,395 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $207 Mil.
Net Income was $383 Mil.
Gross Profit was $0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was $781 Mil.
Total Receivables was $2,185 Mil.
Revenue was $7,963 Mil.
Gross Profit was $1,640 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $5,294 Mil.
Total Assets was $8,935 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $2,678 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $322 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $2,516 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $205 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1967.793 / 6712.384) / (2185.094 / 7963.054)
=0.293159 / 0.274404
=1.0683

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1639.81 / 7963.054) / (1509.993 / 6712.384)
=0.205927 / 0.224956
=0.9154

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (5040.456 + 2533.07) / 8610.072) / (1 - (5294.046 + 2677.933) / 8934.704)
=0.120388 / 0.107751
=1.1173

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=6712.384 / 7963.054
=0.8429

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(322.165 / (322.165 + 2677.933)) / (297.099 / (297.099 + 2533.07))
=0.107385 / 0.104976
=1.0229

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 6712.384) / (0 / 7963.054)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((207.384 + 2394.649) / 8610.072) / ((204.916 + 2516.094) / 8934.704)
=0.302208 / 0.304544
=0.9923

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(382.623 - 0 - 780.771) / 8610.072
=-0.046242

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Tosoh has a M-score of -2.77 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Tosoh (TOSCF) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
3-8-2 Shiba, Minata-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 105-8623
Tosoh Corp manufactures and sells a variety of petrochemicals, plastics, and chemical-based products. The firm organizes itself into four segments, based on product type. The Petrochemical segment, which generates more revenue than any other segment, sells olefins and polymers, including ethylene and polyvinyl chloride, which are used to make plastics for a variety of end uses. The Chlor-Alkali segment sells caustic soda used to make soap, baking soda, and water treatment products. The Specialty segment sells battery materials, a variety of zirconia products, bromine used in electronics flame retardants, and clinical diagnostics equipment. The Engineering segment provides construction and water treatment services. The majority of revenue comes from Japan.

Tosoh (TOSCF) Headlines

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