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Baolong International Co (TPE:1906) Beneish M-Score : -1.69 (As of Jun. 05, 2024)


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What is Baolong International Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.69 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Baolong International Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TPE:1906' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.22   Med: -2.03   Max: 1.72
Current: -1.69

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Baolong International Co was 1.72. The lowest was -4.22. And the median was -2.03.


Baolong International Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Baolong International Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Baolong International Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Baolong International Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.18 -3.00 -1.51 -1.65 -2.04

Baolong International Co Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.40 -2.99 -2.01 -2.04 -1.69

Competitive Comparison of Baolong International Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Paper & Paper Products subindustry, Baolong International Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Baolong International Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Forest Products Industry

For the Forest Products industry and Basic Materials sector, Baolong International Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Baolong International Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Baolong International Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Baolong International Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.7774+0.528 * 1.3785+0.404 * 0.9807+0.892 * 0.8185+0.115 * 0.6162
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.6087+4.679 * 0.014262-0.327 * 1.1409
=-1.69

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was NT$300 Mil.
Revenue was 935.804 + 861.231 + 816.889 + 906.991 = NT$3,521 Mil.
Gross Profit was 63.901 + 59.327 + 56.134 + 66.923 = NT$246 Mil.
Total Current Assets was NT$413 Mil.
Total Assets was NT$6,817 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was NT$34 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was NT$1 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was NT$217 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was NT$2,097 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was NT$2 Mil.
Net Income was 44.722 + -29.48 + 24.878 + 77.293 = NT$117 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = NT$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 208.331 + -168.059 + 346.154 + -366.237 = NT$20 Mil.
Total Receivables was NT$207 Mil.
Revenue was 806.783 + 999.437 + 985.654 + 1509.958 = NT$4,302 Mil.
Gross Profit was 72.968 + 85.954 + 88.39 + 167.483 = NT$415 Mil.
Total Current Assets was NT$306 Mil.
Total Assets was NT$7,339 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was NT$40 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was NT$1 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was NT$435 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was NT$1,939 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was NT$42 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(300.48 / 3520.915) / (206.551 / 4301.832)
=0.085341 / 0.048015
=1.7774

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(414.795 / 4301.832) / (246.285 / 3520.915)
=0.096423 / 0.069949
=1.3785

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (413.362 + 33.645) / 6816.89) / (1 - (305.702 + 40.224) / 7338.797)
=0.934427 / 0.952863
=0.9807

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=3520.915 / 4301.832
=0.8185

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0.938 / (0.938 + 40.224)) / (1.292 / (1.292 + 33.645))
=0.022788 / 0.036981
=0.6162

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(216.787 / 3520.915) / (435.139 / 4301.832)
=0.061571 / 0.101152
=0.6087

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1.811 + 2097.216) / 6816.89) / ((42.026 + 1938.572) / 7338.797)
=0.307916 / 0.26988
=1.1409

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(117.413 - 0 - 20.189) / 6816.89
=0.014262

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Baolong International Co has a M-score of -1.69 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Baolong International Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Baolong International Co (TPE:1906) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No.25, Shisan N. Road, Yunlin County, Douliu, TWN, 640106
Baolong International Co Ltd is engaged in production of kraft paper and corrugated paper which are used in production of corrugated boxes to prevent the products from damage.

Baolong International Co (TPE:1906) Headlines

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