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Cathay Real Estate Development Co (TPE:2501) Beneish M-Score : -2.25 (As of May. 23, 2024)


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What is Cathay Real Estate Development Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.25 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Cathay Real Estate Development Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TPE:2501' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.44   Med: -1.96   Max: 2.13
Current: -2.25

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Cathay Real Estate Development Co was 2.13. The lowest was -3.44. And the median was -1.96.


Cathay Real Estate Development Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Cathay Real Estate Development Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Cathay Real Estate Development Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Cathay Real Estate Development Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.44 -1.95 -2.29 -1.82 -1.69

Cathay Real Estate Development Co Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.71 -2.46 -2.27 -1.69 -2.25

Competitive Comparison of Cathay Real Estate Development Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Real Estate - Development subindustry, Cathay Real Estate Development Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Cathay Real Estate Development Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Cathay Real Estate Development Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cathay Real Estate Development Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Cathay Real Estate Development Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Cathay Real Estate Development Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0745+0.528 * 0.8988+0.404 * 1.1885+0.892 * 1.0558+0.115 * 1.1036
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.7917+4.679 * 0.008547-0.327 * 0.9911
=-2.25

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was NT$767 Mil.
Revenue was 7056.25 + 6035.725 + 2634.597 + 3934.906 = NT$19,661 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1360.752 + 1918.309 + 721.86 + 1006.943 = NT$5,008 Mil.
Total Current Assets was NT$58,075 Mil.
Total Assets was NT$83,797 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was NT$8,768 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was NT$1,065 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was NT$1,903 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was NT$33,463 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was NT$20,822 Mil.
Net Income was 549.115 + 1368.841 + 238.47 + 418.695 = NT$2,575 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = NT$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 2165.329 + 1310.772 + -2562.2 + 945.044 = NT$1,859 Mil.
Total Receivables was NT$676 Mil.
Revenue was 2875.746 + 8817.651 + 4575.249 + 2353.618 = NT$18,622 Mil.
Gross Profit was 713.602 + 2118.105 + 973.468 + 457.92 = NT$4,263 Mil.
Total Current Assets was NT$55,984 Mil.
Total Assets was NT$78,327 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was NT$9,008 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was NT$1,223 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was NT$2,277 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was NT$29,089 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was NT$22,109 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(766.584 / 19661.478) / (675.715 / 18622.264)
=0.038989 / 0.036285
=1.0745

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(4263.095 / 18622.264) / (5007.864 / 19661.478)
=0.228925 / 0.254704
=0.8988

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (58074.923 + 8767.514) / 83796.82) / (1 - (55983.818 + 9008.333) / 78326.869)
=0.202327 / 0.170244
=1.1885

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=19661.478 / 18622.264
=1.0558

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1222.845 / (1222.845 + 9008.333)) / (1064.811 / (1064.811 + 8767.514))
=0.119521 / 0.108297
=1.1036

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1903.262 / 19661.478) / (2276.94 / 18622.264)
=0.096802 / 0.12227
=0.7917

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((20822.288 + 33462.839) / 83796.82) / ((22108.622 + 29089.419) / 78326.869)
=0.647818 / 0.653646
=0.9911

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(2575.121 - 0 - 1858.945) / 83796.82
=0.008547

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Cathay Real Estate Development Co has a M-score of -2.25 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Cathay Real Estate Development Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Cathay Real Estate Development Co (TPE:2501) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Dunhua South Road, 2nd Floor, No. 218, Section 2, Da’an District, Taipei, TWN, 106
Cathay Real Estate Development Co Ltd specialises in property construction, development, and distribution of residential and commercial buildings. The major property types the company provides are high rise residential buildings, shops, office buildings and integrated commercial buildings. The company's services cover the major urban area in Taiwan. The company also operates other real estate businesses related to their primary business, such as engineering, real estate management and consultant subsidiaries.

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