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Aforti Holding (WAR:AFH) Beneish M-Score : -4.35 (As of May. 26, 2024)


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What is Aforti Holding Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -4.35 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Aforti Holding's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

WAR:AFH' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.35   Med: -0.55   Max: 29.53
Current: -4.35

During the past 12 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Aforti Holding was 29.53. The lowest was -4.35. And the median was -0.55.


Aforti Holding Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Aforti Holding's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Aforti Holding Beneish M-Score Chart

Aforti Holding Annual Data
Trend Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.24 0.84 0.81 -1.06 -2.41

Aforti Holding Quarterly Data
Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.76 -3.05 -3.55 -3.67 -4.35

Competitive Comparison of Aforti Holding's Beneish M-Score

For the Specialty Business Services subindustry, Aforti Holding's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Aforti Holding's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Aforti Holding's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Aforti Holding's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Aforti Holding Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Aforti Holding for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.7033+0.528 * 0.2174+0.404 * 1.2579+0.892 * 0.6649+0.115 * 1.4309
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.3342+4.679 * -0.195626-0.327 * 1.7128
=-4.35

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Sep22) TTM:
Total Receivables was zł39.0 Mil.
Revenue was 187.264 + 256.186 + 533.6 + 775.239 = zł1,752.3 Mil.
Gross Profit was 5.338 + 3.013 + 3.489 + 3.335 = zł15.2 Mil.
Total Current Assets was zł42.9 Mil.
Total Assets was zł124.7 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was zł1.1 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was zł1.0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was zł2.8 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was zł165.3 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was zł141.2 Mil.
Net Income was -7.288 + 0.429 + -6.651 + -7.152 = zł-20.7 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = zł0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 0.976 + 3.126 + 4.727 + -5.106 = zł3.7 Mil.
Total Receivables was zł83.4 Mil.
Revenue was 757.394 + 674.921 + 535.812 + 667.468 = zł2,635.6 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1.829 + 2.055 + 1.374 + -0.296 = zł5.0 Mil.
Total Current Assets was zł92.2 Mil.
Total Assets was zł190.8 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was zł0.5 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was zł1.0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was zł12.6 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was zł85.7 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was zł188.3 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(38.978 / 1752.289) / (83.357 / 2635.595)
=0.022244 / 0.031627
=0.7033

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(4.962 / 2635.595) / (15.175 / 1752.289)
=0.001883 / 0.00866
=0.2174

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (42.925 + 1.148) / 124.651) / (1 - (92.233 + 0.523) / 190.818)
=0.646429 / 0.513903
=1.2579

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1752.289 / 2635.595
=0.6649

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1.009 / (1.009 + 0.523)) / (0.979 / (0.979 + 1.148))
=0.658616 / 0.460273
=1.4309

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(2.802 / 1752.289) / (12.609 / 2635.595)
=0.001599 / 0.004784
=0.3342

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((141.16 + 165.334) / 124.651) / ((188.256 + 85.672) / 190.818)
=2.458817 / 1.435546
=1.7128

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-20.662 - 0 - 3.723) / 124.651
=-0.195626

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Aforti Holding has a M-score of -4.35 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Aforti Holding Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Aforti Holding (WAR:AFH) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
ulica Chalubinskiego 8, Warszawa, POL, 00-613
Aforti Holding SA is a financial group that offers services in private and corporate finance. The company addresses the needs of Entrepreneurs as well as companies of the SME sector by offering a wide range of financial services that support business development, such as financing the company operations, online foreign exchange, management of liabilities, or factoring. It operates in Warsaw, Szczecin, Poznan, Cracow, Rzeszow, Rybnik, and Katowice.

Aforti Holding (WAR:AFH) Headlines

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