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Develia (WAR:DVL) Beneish M-Score : -0.06 (As of May. 16, 2024)


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What is Develia Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -0.06 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Develia's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

WAR:DVL' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.74   Med: -2.34   Max: -0.06
Current: -0.06

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Develia was -0.06. The lowest was -3.74. And the median was -2.34.


Develia Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Develia's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Develia Beneish M-Score Chart

Develia Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.61 -3.74 -0.49 -3.08 -0.06

Develia Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.08 -2.19 -1.84 -1.30 -0.06

Competitive Comparison of Develia's Beneish M-Score

For the Real Estate - Development subindustry, Develia's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Develia's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Develia's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Develia's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Develia Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Develia for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 3.1466+0.528 * 1.1275+0.404 * 0.5474+0.892 * 1.5056+0.115 * 1.1484
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1939+4.679 * 0.037933-0.327 * 1.1718
=-0.06

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was zł97 Mil.
Revenue was 821.665 + 366.963 + 161.973 + 257.224 = zł1,608 Mil.
Gross Profit was 245.196 + 87.052 + 60.607 + 90.244 = zł483 Mil.
Total Current Assets was zł3,182 Mil.
Total Assets was zł3,808 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was zł10 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was zł3 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was zł135 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was zł1,552 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was zł616 Mil.
Net Income was 150.75 + 45.347 + 21.137 + 58.389 = zł276 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = zł0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -67.663 + 143.44 + -58.995 + 114.391 = zł131 Mil.
Total Receivables was zł20 Mil.
Revenue was 747.622 + 200.474 + 22.264 + 97.559 = zł1,068 Mil.
Gross Profit was 278.241 + 44.463 + 9.781 + 29.314 = zł362 Mil.
Total Current Assets was zł2,066 Mil.
Total Assets was zł2,941 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was zł6 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was zł2 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was zł75 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was zł1,033 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was zł396 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(97.08 / 1607.825) / (20.492 / 1067.919)
=0.06038 / 0.019189
=3.1466

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(361.799 / 1067.919) / (483.099 / 1607.825)
=0.338789 / 0.300467
=1.1275

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (3181.553 + 10.409) / 3808.066) / (1 - (2066.106 + 5.959) / 2941.381)
=0.161789 / 0.295547
=0.5474

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1607.825 / 1067.919
=1.5056

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(2.026 / (2.026 + 5.959)) / (2.952 / (2.952 + 10.409))
=0.253726 / 0.220942
=1.1484

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(134.722 / 1607.825) / (74.951 / 1067.919)
=0.083791 / 0.070184
=1.1939

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((615.899 + 1551.887) / 3808.066) / ((395.524 + 1033.353) / 2941.381)
=0.569262 / 0.485784
=1.1718

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(275.623 - 0 - 131.173) / 3808.066
=0.037933

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Develia has a M-score of -0.06 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Develia Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Develia (WAR:DVL) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
ul. Powstancow Slaskich 2-4, Wroclaw, POL, 53-333
Develia SA is a Poland based real estate developer. The company executes commercial and residential investment projects. It is engaged in activities, consisting of the purchasing of real estate and the development of residential, office, commercial or retail projects, and the sale or lease of premises. Its properties are built in Polish cities including Warsaw, Wroclaw, Krakow, Katowice, Gdansk, and Lodz.

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