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Warsaw Stock Exchange (WAR:GPW) Beneish M-Score : -2.37 (As of May. 17, 2024)


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What is Warsaw Stock Exchange Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.37 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Warsaw Stock Exchange's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

WAR:GPW' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.82   Med: -2.46   Max: -1.66
Current: -2.37

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Warsaw Stock Exchange was -1.66. The lowest was -2.82. And the median was -2.46.


Warsaw Stock Exchange Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Warsaw Stock Exchange's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Warsaw Stock Exchange Beneish M-Score Chart

Warsaw Stock Exchange Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.82 -2.55 -2.07 -2.40 -2.37

Warsaw Stock Exchange Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.40 - - - -2.37

Competitive Comparison of Warsaw Stock Exchange's Beneish M-Score

For the Financial Data & Stock Exchanges subindustry, Warsaw Stock Exchange's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Warsaw Stock Exchange's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, Warsaw Stock Exchange's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Warsaw Stock Exchange's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Warsaw Stock Exchange Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Warsaw Stock Exchange for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8959+0.528 * 1.0392+0.404 * 1.0863+0.892 * 1.143+0.115 * 1.2791
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.2296+4.679 * 0.007647-0.327 * 1.0325
=-2.37

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was zł73.0 Mil.
Revenue was zł444.9 Mil.
Gross Profit was zł315.2 Mil.
Total Current Assets was zł499.7 Mil.
Total Assets was zł1,257.7 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was zł134.8 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was zł32.3 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was zł31.1 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was zł120.3 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was zł20.4 Mil.
Net Income was zł156.0 Mil.
Gross Profit was zł0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was zł146.4 Mil.
Total Receivables was zł71.3 Mil.
Revenue was zł389.3 Mil.
Gross Profit was zł286.5 Mil.
Total Current Assets was zł530.6 Mil.
Total Assets was zł1,182.3 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was zł112.3 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was zł36.8 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was zł22.1 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was zł127.6 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was zł0.5 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(72.985 / 444.928) / (71.273 / 389.265)
=0.164038 / 0.183096
=0.8959

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(286.546 / 389.265) / (315.173 / 444.928)
=0.736121 / 0.708369
=1.0392

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (499.669 + 134.787) / 1257.681) / (1 - (530.648 + 112.29) / 1182.256)
=0.495535 / 0.456177
=1.0863

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=444.928 / 389.265
=1.143

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(36.827 / (36.827 + 112.29)) / (32.251 / (32.251 + 134.787))
=0.246967 / 0.193076
=1.2791

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(31.11 / 444.928) / (22.136 / 389.265)
=0.069921 / 0.056866
=1.2296

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((20.386 + 120.321) / 1257.681) / ((0.495 + 127.615) / 1182.256)
=0.111878 / 0.108361
=1.0325

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(156.001 - 0 - 146.383) / 1257.681
=0.007647

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warsaw Stock Exchange has a M-score of -2.37 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Warsaw Stock Exchange Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Warsaw Stock Exchange (WAR:GPW) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
ul. Ksiazeca 4, Warsaw, POL, 00-498
Warsaw Stock Exchange is a securities exchange based in Poland whose core activities include organizing exchange trading in financial instruments and activities related to such trading. The group also pursues activities in education, promotion, and information concerning the capital market. The company has traditionally generated listed interest from both local and regional European companies but primarily from small and medium-sized Polish companies. In addition to stock and bond offerings, the exchange also offers trading in debt instruments, derivatives, commodities, and structured products. Sales revenue is classified according to three main business segments: financial market, commodity market, and other.

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