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Balkankar Zarya (XBUL:BZR) Beneish M-Score : -2.15 (As of May. 15, 2024)


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What is Balkankar Zarya Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.15 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Balkankar Zarya's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

XBUL:BZR' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.72   Med: -2.44   Max: -2.15
Current: -2.15

During the past 4 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Balkankar Zarya was -2.15. The lowest was -2.72. And the median was -2.44.


Balkankar Zarya Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Balkankar Zarya's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Balkankar Zarya Beneish M-Score Chart

Balkankar Zarya Annual Data
Trend Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Beneish M-Score
- - -2.72 -2.15

Balkankar Zarya Quarterly Data
Dec19 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -2.15 - - -

Competitive Comparison of Balkankar Zarya's Beneish M-Score

For the Auto Parts subindustry, Balkankar Zarya's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Balkankar Zarya's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Balkankar Zarya's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Balkankar Zarya's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Balkankar Zarya Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Balkankar Zarya for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8805+0.528 * 1.0558+0.404 * 0.9115+0.892 * 1.4029+0.115 * 1.0194
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9521+4.679 * 0.009046-0.327 * 0.8823
=-2.15

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec22) TTM:Last Year (Dec21) TTM:
Total Receivables was лв1.24 Mil.
Revenue was лв16.82 Mil.
Gross Profit was лв8.56 Mil.
Total Current Assets was лв7.36 Mil.
Total Assets was лв19.90 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was лв10.14 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was лв1.37 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was лв0.38 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was лв3.15 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was лв7.29 Mil.
Net Income was лв2.05 Mil.
Gross Profit was лв0.00 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was лв1.87 Mil.
Total Receivables was лв1.01 Mil.
Revenue was лв11.99 Mil.
Gross Profit was лв6.44 Mil.
Total Current Assets was лв4.92 Mil.
Total Assets was лв18.37 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was лв11.02 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was лв1.52 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was лв0.29 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was лв3.17 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was лв7.76 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1.244 / 16.824) / (1.007 / 11.992)
=0.073942 / 0.083973
=0.8805

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(6.438 / 11.992) / (8.555 / 16.824)
=0.536858 / 0.5085
=1.0558

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (7.361 + 10.14) / 19.898) / (1 - (4.919 + 11.024) / 18.371)
=0.120464 / 0.132165
=0.9115

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=16.824 / 11.992
=1.4029

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1.519 / (1.519 + 11.024)) / (1.367 / (1.367 + 10.14))
=0.121103 / 0.118797
=1.0194

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0.382 / 16.824) / (0.286 / 11.992)
=0.022706 / 0.023849
=0.9521

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((7.286 + 3.153) / 19.898) / ((7.758 + 3.166) / 18.371)
=0.524626 / 0.594633
=0.8823

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(2.054 - 0 - 1.874) / 19.898
=0.009046

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Balkankar Zarya has a M-score of -2.15 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Balkankar Zarya Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Balkankar Zarya (XBUL:BZR) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1 Tosho Kutev Street, Pavlikeni, BGR, 5200
Balkankar Zarya PLC is engaged in the business of manufacturing and supplying steel wheels and rims in Bulgaria. The products are used in electric trucks, electric fork-lift trucks, pallet trucks, electric tractors, motor trucks, and other types of industrial vehicles.

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