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China Modern Dairy Holdings (HKSE:01117) Peter Lynch Fair Value : HK$4.05 (As of May. 27, 2024)


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What is China Modern Dairy Holdings Peter Lynch Fair Value?

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year. Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years. If 5-Year Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25. If 5-Year Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Here, as of today, China Modern Dairy Holdings's PEG is 1. China Modern Dairy Holdings's 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is 25. China Modern Dairy Holdings's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023 was HK$0.16. Therefore, the Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is HK$4.05.

As of today (2024-05-27), China Modern Dairy Holdings's share price is HK$0.78. China Modern Dairy Holdings's Peter Lynch fair value is HK$4.05. Therefore, China Modern Dairy Holdings's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is 0.19.


The historical rank and industry rank for China Modern Dairy Holdings's Peter Lynch Fair Value or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:01117' s Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.18   Med: 0.47   Max: 1.11
Current: 0.19


During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio of China Modern Dairy Holdings was 1.11. The lowest was 0.18. And the median was 0.47.


HKSE:01117's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value is ranked better than
96.76% of 555 companies
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry
Industry Median: 1.1 vs HKSE:01117: 0.19

Note: Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart.


China Modern Dairy Holdings Peter Lynch Fair Value Historical Data

The historical data trend for China Modern Dairy Holdings's Peter Lynch Fair Value can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

China Modern Dairy Holdings Peter Lynch Fair Value Chart

China Modern Dairy Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Peter Lynch Fair Value
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - 4.05

China Modern Dairy Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Peter Lynch Fair Value Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - 4.05

Competitive Comparison of China Modern Dairy Holdings's Peter Lynch Fair Value

For the Farm Products subindustry, China Modern Dairy Holdings's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


China Modern Dairy Holdings's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, China Modern Dairy Holdings's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where China Modern Dairy Holdings's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value falls into.



China Modern Dairy Holdings Peter Lynch Fair Value Calculation

China Modern Dairy Holdings's Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is calculated as

Peter Lynch Fair Value=PEG Ratio*5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate***EPS without NRI (TTM)
=1* 25 *0.162
=4.05

For company reported semi-annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data. China Modern Dairy Holdings's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023 was HK$0.16.


* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

** Please be aware that the 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is calculated based on TTM data over the last 5 years. For quarterly reported companies, the TTM data adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months. For companies that report semi-annually, annually, or do not have enough quarterly data, GuruFocus uses the annual data as the TTM data.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Please note that we use the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate for non-bank companies, as EBITDA growth is subject to less manipulations than net earnings per share. For banks, we use the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate. The reason is that EBITDA is not applicable to Banks and Book value is a relative important measurement for Banks. In the calculation, PEG=1 because Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E ratio of the growth stock is equal to its earnings growth rate.


China Modern Dairy Holdings  (HKSE:01117) Peter Lynch Fair Value Explanation

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year.

Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years.

Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart. In Peter Lynch chart, a fixed P/E ratio of 15 is used to draw the Earnings Line. Therefore the value reached has a P/E ratio of 15. But in Peter Lynch Fair Value calculation, P/E equals to the growth rate of EBITDA per share over the past 5 years, which is 25 instead of 15 in this case.

China Modern Dairy Holdings's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value=Share Price/Peter Lynch Fair Value
=0.78/4.05
=0.19

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


China Modern Dairy Holdings Peter Lynch Fair Value Related Terms

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China Modern Dairy Holdings (HKSE:01117) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Economic and Technological Development Zone, Danyang Town, Bowang District, Anhui Province, Maanshan City, CHN
China Modern Dairy Holdings Ltd operates in the Chinese food industry. Its primary business includes the production of milk and its revenue mainly depends on the sale of raw milk. The company produces and sells raw milk to customers for processing into dairy products and Liquid Milk products business which relates to its sale of liquid milk products.
Executives
Bank Of China Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Central Huijin Investment Ltd. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Boc International Holdings Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Boci Financial Products Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Mgd Holdings 2101 Beneficial owner
China Mengniu Dairy Company Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Ggg Holdings Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Liu Chang 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
New Century Ltd. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Xin Xi Wang Ru Ye Gu Fen You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you

China Modern Dairy Holdings (HKSE:01117) Headlines

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