Aclarion (Aclarion) Predictability Rank

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What is Aclarion Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Aclarion Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Aclarion (Aclarion) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Healthcare Providers & Services » Aclarion Inc (NAS:ACON) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

8181 Arista Place, Suite 300, Broomfield, CO, USA, 80021

Website

http://www.aclarion.com

Aclarion Inc is a healthcare technology company that leverages Magnetic Resonance Spectroscopy (MRS), and a proprietary biomarker to optimize clinical treatments. Its product Nociscan is a SaaS platform that leverages MR Spectroscopy to noninvasively help physicians distinguish between painful and nonpainful discs in the spine. The Company derives its revenues from one source, the delivery of Nociscan reports to medical professionals. Substantially all revenues are generated from contracts with customers in the United States.

Executives

John Paul Lorbiecki	officer: Chief Financial Officer	238 CHEYENNE DRIVE, LAFAYETTE CO 80026
Brent Ness	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	951 MARINERS ISLAND BLVD., SUITE 300, SAN MATEO CA 94404
Ryan Bond	officer: Chief Strategy Officer	951 MARINERS ISLAND BLVD., SUITE 300, SAN MATEO CA 94404
Stephen Deitsch	director	1600 BROADWAY, SUITE 700, DENVER CO 80202
William Wesemann	director	130 MONTALVO ROAD, REDWOOD CITY CA 94062
Jeffrey John Thramann	director, officer: Executive Chairman	8580 STRAWBERRY LANE, NIWOT CO 80503
Michael W Dirks	10 percent owner	811 EAST 30TH AVE, HUTCHINSON KS 67502
Nuvasive Inc	10 percent owner	7475 LUSK BLVD, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Sc Capital 1 Llc	10 percent owner	1 COMPOUND DRIVE, HUTCHINSON KS 67502
Scott Breidbart	director	951 MARINERS ISLAND BLVD, SUITE 300, SAN MATEO CA 94404
Amanda Mae Sequira	director	951 MARINERS ISLAND BLVD., SUITE 300, SAN MATEO CA 94404
David K Neal	director	C/O ACLARION, INC., 951 MARINERS ISLAND BLVD, SUITE 300, SAN MATEO CA 94404