AssetMark Financial Holdings (AssetMark Financial Holdings) Predictability Rank

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What is AssetMark Financial Holdings Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

AssetMark Financial Holdings Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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AssetMark Financial Holdings (AssetMark Financial Holdings) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Asset Management » AssetMark Financial Holdings Inc (NYSE:AMK) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

0LA:Germany

Address

1655 Grant Street, 10th Floor, Concord, CA, USA, 94520

Website

https://www.assetmark.com

AssetMark Financial Holdings Inc is a provider of extensive wealth management and technology solutions that power independent financial advisers and their clients. It provides an end-to-end experience, spanning nearly all elements of an adviser's engagement with the client, from initial conversations to ongoing financial planning discussions, including performance reporting and billing. In addition, the company's platform provides tools and capabilities for advisers to better manage their day-to-day business activities, giving them more time for meaningful conversations with investors.

Executives

Carrie E. Hansen	officer: EVP, Chief Operating Officer	C/O ASSETMARK FINANCIAL HOLDINGS, INC., 1655 GRANT STREET, 10TH FLOOR, CONCORD CA 94520
Ted F. Angus	officer: EVP, General Counsel	C/O ASSETMARK FINANCIAL HOLDINGS, INC., 1655 GRANT STREET, 10TH FLOOR, CONCORD CA 94520
Mcnatt Joel David Jr	officer: EVP, Investment Solutions	C/O ASSETMARK FINANCIAL HOLDINGS INC., 1655 GRANT ST 10TH FLOOR, CONCORD CA 94520
Mukesh Mehta	officer: EVP, Chief Information Officer	C/O ASSETMARK FINANCIAL HOLDINGS, INC., 1655 GRANT STREET, 10TH FLOOR, CONCORD CA 94520
Michael Kim	officer: EVP, Chief Client Officer	C/O ASSETMARK FINANCIAL HOLDINGS, INC., 1655 GRANT STREET, 10TH FLOOR, CONCORD CA 94520
Natalie Grace Wolfsen	officer: EVP, Chief Solutions Officer	C/O ASSETMARK FINANCIAL HOLDINGS, INC., 1655 GRANT STREET, 10TH FLOOR, CONCORD CA 94520
Gary G. Zyla	officer: EVP, Chief Financial Officer	C/O ASSETMARK FINANCIAL HOLDINGS, INC., 1655 GRANT STREET, 10TH FLOOR, CONCORD CA 94520
Esi Minta-jacobs	officer: EVP, Prgm Mgmt & HR	C/O ASSETMARK FINANCIAL HOLDINGS, INC., 1655 GRANT STREET, 10TH FLOOR, CONCORD CA 94520
Jeremiah H Chafkin	officer: EVP, Chief Investment Officer	C/O THE CHARLES SCHWAB CORPORATION, 120 KEARNY STREET, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94108
John Hahn	officer: SVP, Finance & Reporting (PAO)	C/O ASSETMARK FINANCIAL HOLDINGS, INC., 1655 GRANT STREET 10TH FLOOR, CONCORD CA 94520
Joseph M Velli	director
Charles G Goldman	director, officer: President and CEO	C/O THE CHARLES SCHWAB CORPORATION, 120 KEARNY STREET, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94108
Lei Wang	director	1655 GRANT STREET, 10TH FLOOR, CONCORD CA 94520
Xiaoning Jiao	director	1655 GRANT STREET, 10TH FLOOR, CONCORD CA 94520
Huatai Securities Co., Ltd.	10 percent owner	NO.228 MIDDLE JIANGDONG ROAD, NANJING, JIANGSU PROVINCE F4 210019