Focus Impact BH3 Acquisition Co (Focus Impact BH3 Acquisition Co) Predictability Rank

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What is Focus Impact BH3 Acquisition Co Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Focus Impact BH3 Acquisition Co Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Focus Impact BH3 Acquisition Co Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Focus Impact BH3 Acquisition Co (Focus Impact BH3 Acquisition Co) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Diversified Financial Services » Focus Impact BH3 Acquisition Co (NAS:BHAC) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

1345 Avenue of the Americas, 33rd Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10105

Website

https://www.bh3ac.com

Focus Impact BH3 Acquisition Co is a blank check company.

Executives

Troy L Carter	director	251 LITTLE FALLS DRIVE, WILMINGTON DE 19808
D'angela Simms	director	40 W. 57TH STREET, 33RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Plc Barclays	10 percent owner	1 CHURCHILL PLACE, CANARY WHARF, LONDON X0 E14 5HP
Eric J Edidin	director	570 LEXINGTON AVENUE, 40TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Mark Edward Rose	director	1 SOUTH WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 3000, CHICAGO IL 60606
Bh3 Sponsor Llc	10 percent owner	819 NE 2ND AVENUE, SUITE 300, FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33304
Jonathan Roth	director	819 NE 2ND AVENUE, SUITE 500, C/O BH3 MANAGEMENT, FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33304
Dwight Arnesen	director	819 NE 2ND AVENUE, SUITE 500, C/O BH3 MANAGEMENT, FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33304
Daniel Adan	director	819 NE 2ND AVENUE, SUITE 500, C/O BH3 MANAGEMENT, FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33304
Daniel Lebensohn	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Co-Chief Executive Officer	819 NE 2ND AVENUE, SUITE 500, C/O BH3 MANAGEMENT, FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33304
Gregory Freedman	director, 10 percent owner, officer: See Remarks	819 NE 2ND AVENUE, SUITE 500, C/O BH3 MANAGEMENT, FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33304
Michelle Guber	officer: Chief Operating Officer	819 NE 2ND AVENUE, SUITE 500, C/O BH3 MANAGEMENT, FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33304

Focus Impact BH3 Acquisition Co (Focus Impact BH3 Acquisition Co) Headlines

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