Bioxytran (Bioxytran) Predictability Rank

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What is Bioxytran Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Bioxytran Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Bioxytran (Bioxytran) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » Bioxytran Inc (OTCPK:BIXT) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

75 2nd Avenue, Suite 605, Needham, MA, USA, 02494

Website

https://www.bioxytraninc.com

Bioxytran Inc is a biopharmaceutical company. The company is engaged in developing anti-necrosis drugs that treat a variety of medical conditions resulting from Ischemia. It is also focusing on the development and commercialization of treatments to prevent catastrophic brain damage resulting from hypoxic conditions following brain stroke. Its product candidate, BXT-25, is an anti-necrosis drug that carries oxygen to tissues when the flow of blood is blocked. Its other drug candidate BXT-252 is a resuscitative agent in a variety of wound healing applications.

Executives

Dale H Conaway	director	189 WELLS AVE, NEWTON MA 02459
Alan M Hoberman	director	6134 MECHANICSVILLE ROAD, PO BOX 56, MECHANICSVILLE PA 18934
Anders Utter	director	BIOXYTRAN, INC, 233 NEEDHAM ST., SUITE 300, NEWTON MA 02464
David Platt	director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO	12 APPLETON CIRCLE, NEWTON MA 02459
Hana Chen-walden	director	7 RUE ARISTIDE MAILLOL, PARIS I0 75015
Michael Sheikh	officer: Chief Communication Officer	1905 S AUDUBON CT, SPOKANE WA 99224
Binder Offer	other: No longer 10% owner	PASQUALE VIA SETTEMBRIMI 14A, SAN MARIANO 06073, CORCIANO PG ITALY L6 00000
Ola Soderquist	10 percent owner, officer: CFO	47 HAMMOND STREET, UNIT 2, WALTHAM MA 02451
Lawrence W. Bonafide	director	78365 HWY 111, SUITE 287, LA QUINTA CA 92253
Nathan Marks	director	78365 HWY 111, SUITE 287, LA QUINTA CA 92253
Dave Quincy Farber	director, officer: President	78365 HWY 111, SUITE 287, LA QUINTA CA 92253
David Lee	director	78365 HWY 111, SUITE 287, LA QUINTA CA 92253
Donita R. Kendig	director, officer: Secretary/Treasurer	78365 HWY 11, SUITE 287, LA QUINTA CA 92253
Afcc, Llc	10 percent owner	1621 CENTRAL AVENUE, CHEYENNE WY 82001
Paul W Hai	10 percent owner	20443 TIMBERLINE, BEND OR 97701