Bank of South Carolina (Bank of South Carolina) Predictability Rank

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What is Bank of South Carolina Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Bank of South Carolina Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Bank of South Carolina (Bank of South Carolina) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Banks » Bank of South Carolina Corp (OTCPK:BKSC) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

256 Meeting Street, Charleston, SC, USA, 29401

Website

https://www.banksc.com

Bank of South Carolina Corp is a financial institution holding company. It is engaged in providing financial product and services. The bank offers various deposits, including non-interest-bearing accounts, negotiable order of withdrawal accounts, money market accounts, time deposits and savings accounts. Its loan offering includes commercial and industrial loans; real estate loans; loans to individuals for household, family and other personal expenditures. In addition to one- to four-family residential mortgage loans, it offers home equity loans and lines of credit that are secured by the borrower's primary or secondary residence. Geographically, all the activities are functioned through the regions of South Carolina and derive majority of its income from interest on loans and investments.

Executives

Walpole Gene H Iv	officer: Chief Financial Officer	PO BOX 538, CHARLESTON SC 29402
Fleetwood S Hassell	officer: Senior Vice President	P O BOX 538, CHARLESTON SC 29402
Sheryl G Sharry	officer: Senior Vice President	P. O. BOX 538, CHARLESTON SC 29402
Douglas H Sass	officer: Executive Vice President	P O BOX 538, CHARLESTON SC 29402
Charles G Lane	director	P O BOX 538, CHARLESTON SC 29402
Lane C Hugh Jr	director, 10 percent owner, officer: President & CEO	P O BOX 538, CHARLESTON SC 29402
Susanne King Boyd	officer: Cheif Operating Officer	PO BOX 538, CHARLESTON SC 29402
David W Bunch	director	P O BOX 538, CHARLESTON SC 29402
Hutson Richard W Jr	director	P O BOX 538, CHARLESTON SC 29402
Elizabeth M Hagood	director	P O BOX 538, CHARLESTON SC 29402
Hiott William L Jr	director, officer: Executive Vice President
Alan I Nussbaum	director	P O BOX 538, CHARLESTON SC 29402
David R Schools	director	P O BOX 538, CHARLESTON SC 29402
Malcolm M Rhodes	director	P O BOX 538, CHARLESTON SC 29402
Glen B Haynes	director	P O BOX 538, CHARLESTON SC 29402