Capital Bancorp (Capital Bancorp) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 2018. Start your Free Trial

What is Capital Bancorp Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Capital Bancorp Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Capital Bancorp Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Capital Bancorp's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Capital Bancorp (Capital Bancorp) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Banks » Capital Bancorp Inc (NAS:CBNK) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

316:Germany

Address

2275 Research Boulevard, Suite 600, Rockville, MD, USA, 20850

Website

https://www.capitalbankmd.com

Capital Bancorp Inc is a bank holding company. The company through its holdings operates as a commercial-focused community bank that serves businesses, not-for-profit associations, and entrepreneurs throughout the region. The bank operates through four divisions including Commercial Banking, Capital Bank Home Loans, Corporate Office, and OpenSky. Its Commercial Banking division offers banking-related services to clients, Capital Bank Home Loans division offers conventional and government-guaranteed residential mortgage loans on a nationwide basis for sale into the secondary market, while its OpenSky division provides secured credit cards on a nationwide basis to under-banked populations and those looking to rebuild their credit scores.

Executives

Jacob Dalaya	officer: EVP, Chief Strategy Officer	2275 RESEARCH BLVD, SUITE 600, ROCKVILLE MD 20850
Perrine Constance E	officer: SVP & CAO	C/O OMNI FINANCIAL SERVICES, INC., SIX CONCOURSE PARKWAY, SUITE 2300, ATLANTA GA 30328
Mary Ann Scully	director	3301 BOSTON STREET, BALTIMORE MD 21224
Jennings Walker	officer: EVP, Chief Financial Officer	2275 RESEARCH BLVD, SUITE 600, ROCKVILLE MD 20850
Randall James Levitt	director	ONE CHURCH STREET SUITE 300, ROCKVILLE MD 20850
Steven M Poynot	officer: EVP, Chief Operating Officer	8004 BRIGHT LIGHT PLACE, ELLICOTT CITY MD 21043
Gary M Kausmeyer	officer: Chief Risk Officer	185 EAST MARKET STREET, WARREN OH 44481
Jeffrey Kaye	officer: EVP, Chief Marketing Officer	2275 RESEARCH BLVD, SUITE 600, ROCKVILLE MD 20850
Sandeep Uthra	officer: EVP & CIO	2275 RESEARCH BLVD, 6TH FLOOR, ROCKVILLE MD 20850
Fred Joseph Lewis	director	2275 RESEARCH BLVD, ROCKVILLE MD 20850
Eric M. Suss	officer: EVP and CHRO	ONE CHURCH STREET, ROCKVILLE MD 20850
Jerome Ronnell Bailey	director	CAPITAL BANCORP, INC., 2275 RESEARCH BLVD, SUITE 600, ROCKVILLE MD 20850
Stephen N Ashman	director
James F. Whalen	director	ONE CHURCH STREET, ROCKVILLE MD 20850
Joshua Bernstein	director	ONE CHURCH STREET, ROCKVILLE MD 20850